Rhys Blakely, Bombay
Get 20% off your bill at Pizza Express
Inflation in India has soared to its fastest pace in more than three years, raising the prospect of a tighter monetary policy that would jeopardise the country's fading economic renaissance.
The figures, which are deeply embarrassing to the Indian government and were pounced on by opposition politicians today, come as soaring prices of foodstuffs and industrial raw materials remain at historical highs, fanning inflation across Asia.
Indian wholesale prices rose at a 7.4 per cent annual pace in the week to March 29, up from 7 per cent in the previous week and wrong-footing economists' predictions for a flat reading. As recently as the first week of February the gauge stood at just 4 per cent, well below the central bank's 5 per cent comfort threshold.
In China, Indonesia and Pakistan inflation rates are above 8 per cent. Consumer prices in Colombo, the capital of Sri Lanka, have risen about 24 per cent in the past year, according to Bloomberg, the financial data provider.
Oil touched a record $112.21 (£56.9) a barrel this week in New York. Wheat prices have more than doubled in Chicago over the past year, and touched a record high of $13.495 a bushel in late February.
Rice, a staple food across South Asia, has increased in price by more than 40 per cent in some markets since January – one of the factors that prompted the World Bank to warn this week that more than 30 countries face the prospect of food riots.
The Indian government, which must call a general election before next May, is hugely sensitive to the rising costs of basic goods. Even small rises in food hit India's army of poor voters hard.
In an effort to temper price rises it has already cut import duties on edible oils and banned the export of pulses and most types of rice - fiscal measures that are providing a fillip for global market prices.
The government has also leaned heavily on steel manufacturers, pressing them into making "voluntary" press cuts or risk mandatory price caps. Today, it withdrew export incentives for goods including cement.
Economists now expect a further hike in the cash reserve ratio - the proportion of deposits commercial lenders need to place with the central bank - before the end of April.
Tighter monetary policy has already contributed to a deceleration in India's economic growth to an 8.4 per cent annual pace in the three months to December, down from an 18-year high of 9.6 per cent in the year to March 31, 2007.
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
The inside track on current trends in the charity, not for profit and social enterprise sectors
Explore your passion for food with the delights of Thai, Indian & Chinese cooking
Read our exclusive 100 Years of Fleming and Bond interactive timeline, packed with original Times articles and reviews
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
05/2005
£13,500
08/2008
£109,950
2006
£10,750
Great car insurance deals online
£100k
The National Skills Academy for Social Care
London
£49,229 - £62,035 pro rata
Charity Commission
London/Liverpool/Taunton
£75k - £85k
Confidential
London
Six Figure
Rolls Royce
Midlands/Europe
From £89,950
Great Investment, River Views
$3.5 million
Also avaliable for rent
Times Online Property Search will help you find it
Amazing Far East Offers - Visit Hong Kong
from £499pp
Cruise the Islands of Hawaii - Pride of America
List your property with two leading travel websites
Great travel insurance deals online
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths
News International associated websites: Globrix | Property Finder | Milkround
Copyright 2008 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.
I wouldn't worry about global warming,greed will destroy everything before the end of this century.We havn't got 3 earths and there isn't enough rice to go round.Having a curry with rice will soon become a luxury few will be able to afford.
Stephen Hulton, eure, france
Geography has more to do with this than anything else. We live in a finite world that is rapidly being overwhelmed by rising populations, and growing aspirations. It is claimed everyone in the UK has a living standard that requires 3 earths to sustain it. The more poorer countries strive towards our level the greater the pressure on resources.
The answer is more awareness of physical constraints, and less financial chicanery
ged , manchester,
What is happening in India will be happening in the UK unless the BOE start doing the job they were given KEEP INFLATION UNDER CONTROL.
Stephen Hulton, eure, france