Gary Duncan, Economics Editor
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The Bank of England sparked applause in financial markets and relief among homeowners across the country today when it cut interest rates for the second time this year and the third in five months.
The quarter-point cut in borrowing costs follows earlier cuts in February and December, and lowers rates to 5 per cent, a level last seen at the start of 2007.
The move, widely expected in the City, was confirmed by the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) amid mounting fears over the economic toll from the growing credit squeeze and an accelerating slide in house prices.
Homebuyers and the City will hope that the MPC’s latest effort to shore up economic prospects will help to ease resurgent money market strains and end the mortgage drought that has seen the ready availability of home loans dry up, and the cost of those still on the market jump.
Despite the Bank’s previous cuts in official rates, the financial stresses caused by shortages of funds in wholesale money markets for lenders have continued to lift the cost of borrowing for institutions, companies, consumers and homebuyers.
For thousands of those remortgaging from cheap, fixed-rate deals, Bank of England figures yesterday showed that new two-year fixed rates increased from 5.75 per cent to 5.80 per cent in March for borrowers seeking 75 per cent of a property’s value.
Rates rose from 6.55 per cent on average to 6.64 per cent last month for more risky borrowers seeking 95 per cent loans the highest such rate for almost eight years.
Some recent economic news has surprised the City by showing greater resilience than many observers had expected, with retail sales, employment and manufacturing output all confounding gloomy predictions - so far at least.
But economists continue to expect a sharp slowdown this year and next as the credit squeeze, the housing downturn, and the worsening fortunes of the global economy all weigh on Britain’s prospects.
Fears over the outlook were fuelled this week by figures from the Halifax, the country’s biggest mortgage lender, showing that house prices tumbled by 2.5 per cent in March, wiping almost £5,000 of the value of the average home in a single month.
After a rival survey from the Nationwide Building Society showed that on its data prices fell for a fifth month in a row in March (although less sharply last month than on the Halifax figures) there are growing anxieties that the housing market slide is threatening to accelerate into a slump, and could in turn undercut consumer confidence and spending, dealing a heavy blow to growth.
Household spending growth in the final quarter of last year (Q4) all but ground to a halt, rising by a meagre 0.1 per cent as fretful Britons raised their savings, according to official national accounts data.
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Give me a break. Its mandate is the CPI, yet until it could no longer hide behind a suspect CPI basket it had a policy of cutting everytime house price growth fell below 9%.
It pays lip service to containing inflation in the media so the moronic masses will not start demanding wage increases BUT its hawkish stance in no way matches its policies.
If there was no link between house prices, wealth, consumption and prices when house prices went up (so rates were not raised), why does this link change with price falls?
It is also tiring to hear VIs and the media talking about inflation risk the day after MPC decisions, but everyone going into a panic mode/ releasing negtaive news the two days before.
Policy clearly is aimed at risking excess over being prudent. If a letter doess go to the chancellor as inflation goes above 3% what is the punishment. The govt would not care.
Let credit markets continue returning to normal. High income multiples and low deposits were wrong.
Trevor, UK,
The people who are supposed to protect Sterling are destroying it. There will be a flight of currency from the country.
Paul, Coventry,
As expected. Political considerations, and the need to prop up the housing market will always win over controlling inflation.
Iain Ballentine, London,
TO Nick. London
You want to know why the bank has cut interest rates when they should be going up?
Quite simple.
The government is "up the creek" and the May elections are looming.
Don't forget ,Brown runs the so-called Bank of England
The members of the MPC are selected by Brown and do not "bite the hand that feeds them"
george, Hertford, uk
david, what set of circumstances would actually help those of you "priced out of the market"?
jem, london, uk
It's not often mentioned that many of us have tracker mortgages. I do, and it's come down 0.5% since December, and will come down 0.25% further today.
The credit crunch is helping some of us anyway!
Chris, Northampton, England
Some three years ago 'The Economist' wrote an in-depth article on the various reasons why house prices and the whole market in the UK, USofA and, I believe, Australia would plummet and finish up in turmoil. If I recall correctly, the time frame was about three years. At the time, the 'few' people who read the article and attempted to discuss the content were branded as 'bringers of doom and miserable pessimists' . How right 'The Economist' was!
John, Hamburg
Brian , Hamburg, germany
The central issue here is banks trying to recover their losses from customers rather than obtain new capital from shareholders.
The B of E should deal firmly with this moral hazard. It should say to the banks that if they were to behave insensitively towards the citizens of the UK (by not passing on interest rate cuts without good reason) then this would be reflected in the help and support the B of E gives to them.
There is no point in the B of E having power if it does not exercise it. Encouraging virtue and consequently profit is surely the best policy.
fred keeling, almunecar, spain
The central issue here is banks trying to recover their losses from customers rather than obtain new capital from shareholders.
The B of E should deal firmly with this moral hazard. It should say to the banks that if they were to behave insensitively towards the citizens of the UK (by not passing on interest rate cuts without good reason) then this would be reflected in the help and support the B of E gives to them.
There is no point in the B of E having power if it does not exercise it. Encouraging virtue and consequently profit is surely the best policy.
fred keeling, almunecar, spain
What is the point of lowering interest rates? It doesn't benefit the mortgage payers, rates are still going up, it doesn't benefit the savers as interest payments are diminishing. Inflation is increasing and the only people benefiting are the banks. Increasing profit margin from mortgages and decreasing interest payments! Weren't these they people that created the problems in the first place? Banks, they can't loose.......
Rob, Liverpool,
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