Gary Duncan, Economics Editor
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Alistair Darling faces fresh accusations of failing to recognise the danger to Britain’s economy from the deepening financial crisis here and abroad.
With the Chancellor under growing pressure over the scrapping of the 10p income tax band, the Commons Treasury Committee is due to turn up the heat on him today over his handling of the global credit squeeze and its worsening toll of Britain’s prospects.
In a tough report, the cross-party committee charges the Chancellor with complacency over the scale of the threat. It warns him that Britain could be far more vulnerable to the financial turmoil than he has admitted.
The report labels “unreasonable” Gordon Brown’s decision to scrap the 10p starting rate, which was made in his last Budget as Chancellor last year. It says that those below the age of 65 with an income under £18,500 who are in childless households are worst hit.
It says: “We accept that there are benefits in tax simplification and that there are merits to focus on both the needs of children and motivation to work, but conclude that the group of main losers from the abolition of the 10p rate of income tax seem an unreasonable target for raising additional tax revenues to fund these and other initiatives.”
It says that the move may discourage people from entering work. “We are concerned by the poor take-up rate of working tax credit among eligible families without children, especially given that working tax credits are intended to mitigate for low-income households the effect of the removal of the 10p starting rate of income tax.
“We recommend that the Treasury commission research into whether the withdrawal of the 10p income tax band and high marginal deduction rates are creating disincentives that could frustrate the Government’s welfare to work objectives.”
The decision to scrap the rate also appeared to be criticised by Lord Davies of Oldham, the Government’s Deputy Chief Whip in the Lords, who in a debate last week agreed with a suggestion that people were very concerned about the taxation change.
The Treasury Committee’s attack comes after Mr Darling sought to take the initiative this weekend over the response to the crisis from the Group of Seven leading economies, before crucial talks among G7 finance ministers and central bank chiefs in Washington on Friday.
In a letter to his G7 counterparts, the Chancellor told them that it was vital that they demonstrate leadership by committing to a plan of action to address the financial turmoil. G7 ministers are due to consider a report from the Financial Stability Forum (FSF), which will map out moves to quell the crisis and to prevent any repeat.
The head of the International Monetary Fund has said that government intervention at a global level is necessary to tackle the credit crisis. Dominque Strauss-Kahn, the IMF’s managing director, said: “I really think that the need for public intervention is becoming more evident.” In a report, he rejected the idea of the credit crunch being a US problem, saying that it was a global issue.
In its report today, the Commons Treasury Committee says that Mr Darling’s forecasts for the British economy for this year and next are too rosy. It questions his repeated claim that Britain is better placed to weather the storms battering the global economy than other rich nations.
In reality, the MPs conclude, Britain may be under greater threat than rivals, with factors that buoyed growth in the past, such as once-soaring house prices and the former boom in the City, leaving it much more badly exposed as they now turn sour. “We are concerned that the Treasury . . . may have given insufficient weight to the risks of continued financial market turbulence,” the report says.
In the Budget Mr Darling scaled back his forecasts for expected growth this year to between 1.75 and 2.25 per cent from the 2 to 2.5 per cent forecast in last year’s Pre-Budget Report. The bottom end of the new forecast is in line with the average City view, but today’s report suggests that this is still over-optimistic. The Chancellor’s 2009 forecast for growth of 2.25 to 2.75 per cent assumes a swift revival in the economy — a view questioned by the MPs, as well as many City economists.
The Treasury Committee assault on the Chancellor’s assessment of the outlook came as the Bank of England also faced accusations of complacency over the credit crunch from Sushil Wadhwani, a respected former official. With the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) under pressure to deliver a cut in interest rates on Thursday, Dr Wadhwani accused it of “considerable complacency”.
The former MPC member said that Britain could be exposed to the same woes now blighting America, arguing that Britain’s housing market bubble “is at least as large as in the US”.
In his letter to the G7 this weekend, the Chancellor urged agreement on Friday between the biggest economies on “a clear and detailed plan of action”.
He emphasised that global financial conditions had worsened since the G7’s meeting in February in Tokyo, creating “one of the strongest financial shocks for decades”. Ministers needed to act swiftly on the Financial Stability Forum’s recommendations, he argued. “Rapid implementation of the FSF report will not only help to strengthen the global financial system for the longer term, but will help calm market turbulence.”
The FSF is due to set out recommendations for overhauling the global financial regime, including strengthening oversight of banks, and boosting the transparency of the complex financial products being blamed for the crisis.
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City financiers love mergers arguing that they make corporations stronger. If the UK Ltd had joined the Euro, together with the other EU nations it would be better placed to withstand the present economic downturn. But as in 1940 Britain stands alone.
£8billion? Have a whip-round in the city.
peter fieldman, paris, france
Doesn't he look tired?
John Wood, Hull, UK
Lets be honest,the man is out of his depth and nobody believes a word he says.
Stephen Hulton, eure, france
Reducing interest rates yet again will reduce the income of those of us who have been prudent all our lives and done without luxuries to save for our retirement. It is we who provide the money for the borrowers. I'm sure the reduction won't be passed on to mortgages. It will devalue the pound even more, it has already fallen more than 18% against the Euro and will increase inflation and cause the savers to take their money elsewhere. It can do no good, only placate the feckless borrower who buys luxury goods on credit. It will keep the economy moving a bit but at what cost to the Country. Wake up Gordon and Alistair. What we need is an increase in Interest-rate and the consequent reduction in house prices.
Richard, Alicante, Spain
Astonishing attack on the MPC from former 'respected' member Sushil Wadhwani. It was while he was on the committee with his dovish views that has led to the creation of UK's massive property bubble. Surely he does not need to be reminded that the MPC's main remit is inflation which is soaring and any cut could well worsen the situation as it will inevitably weaken Sterling.
cww, suffolk,
They wouldn't by any chance be planning a devaluation of the pound in order to enter in the Euro at a competitive rate. As an ex-pat, this would cripple my economy but I wouldn't put it past them.
Richard, Alicante, Spain
What do they expect.
Before he was an MP, he was a Councillor for Edinburgh and was the Transport convener at one time. He was rubbish at that as he is rubbish at economics
Edward, Newbury, UK
This is not just incompetence, it is criminal negligence, and all we seem capable of doing is to write letters of complaint.
Which is the more pathetic?
David Williams, Eastnor, England
Remember it was Brown, the financial genius, who scrapped the 10p rate. Happily the media have yet to ascribe the level of genius to the present chancellor.
Peter Stroud, Hook, England
Any sensible money will now leave the UK and head for economies that give a real return on savings. I expect any cut in BoE rate to have a further depreciating effect on the pound, stoking up inflation and social unrest. We could then see a precipitate sterling crisis and a need for drastic rate rises to stem the outward flow of capital.
What we really need to see is a drastic cut in public spending to skew the economy back to a sustainable position. We will also need - dare I say it - a protectionist Europe to stem the flow of wealth creating capacity to China et al.
Steve Marchant, Broadhempston, Uk
As long as a majority of voters who foolishly vote Labour exist in this country, Brown and darling do not worry about their bungles as they can always explain away. We should be protesting about this and not about something which China will not budge.
Gary Smith, LONDON,
Yes Austin - and he's a Stalinist to boot! Not sure what Darling's background is though - but isn't it a shame that our economy is run by people without an even minimal grasp of economics.
Also our major is Trotskyite - no wonder we are staring into the abyss.
Lovely sight of the pair of them beaming at the Chinese communist gloatfest yesterday.
Davie P, London,
The abolition of the 10p tax rate hurts those on low salaries whose disposable incomes are already being squeezed by high food and fuel inflation.
Paul, Coventry,
Davie,
That isn't true is it? I thought he was a lawyer? Could he not even make that dubious station (mine I hasten to add), before being called to the trough...?
LOL as the internetors say...
Austin Tassletine, South West, UK
Its Like Lural and Hardy with these two clowns in charge.
edwina, croydon, surrey
'Complacency' - or just good old fashioned incompetence?
MarkS, Leeds,
Soon is the winter of your discontent, made glorious summer by these sons of Caledonia!
David Masu, Zürich,
Can he really be accused of "complacency"? Incompetence sounds better - bearing in mind he and Brown understand absolutely nothing about economics. Isn't Brown's degree about the history of the labour party?
Davie P, London,
Here we go, another cynical tax-payer mass-bailout of the finance industries excesses. Got to keep these guys in Maseratis at any cost eh?
Serial bubble makers the lot of them and inflation will be allowed to rip through my savings, making me poorer - and still without a home to live in.
I can't write on this blog what I really think of them. I really don't know how they sleep at night though.
Rob, Honiton, UK