Patrick Hosking and Dearbail Jordan
Grab an Italian masterpiece for less
The mortgage famine is set to get worse, a closely watched Bank of England study revealed today.
Banks and building societies expect to pull home loan offers more aggressively in the next three months than in the past three months, the Bank's closely watched Credit Conditions survey found.
They also plan to increase the margin over base rate they charge mortgage borrowers, offsetting the benefit of any potential cut in base rate.
It also emerged today that UK banks demanded more than twice the cash offered by the Bank of England in its weekly auction that is aimed at pumping liquidity into the British financial system.
Banks today bid for £27.7 billion, above the £13.4 billion the Bank of England offered at a charge of 5.25 per cent, in line with the current interest rate. Last week, the Bank's auction was three times over subscribed, with lenders bidding £37.8 billion for the £13.6 billion available.
The Bank of England's gloomy outlook in its Credit Conditions survey follows a recent rush by banks to pull mortgage offers as they seek to conserve cash in the face of the credit crunch which has curbed their ability to raise wholesale funding. This week First Direct abandoned offering home loans to any but existing customers.
Lenders also plan to reduce supplies of unsecured credit — personal loans and credit card debt — "somewhat further" over the next three months, the Bank said.
That could seriously hit the most stressed households, who appear to be resorting to expensive unsecured borrowing as other sources of credit dry up. Unsecured personal borrowing ballooned from £900 million to £2.4 billion in February, according to surprise figures yesterday.
In another worrying trend, banks are also reporting being wrong-footed by the speed at which companies are failing to meeting interest bills on loans. Default rates by medium-sized and large companies "picked up more sharply than expected over the past three months," the Bank said, adding that default rates were expected to rise further in the next quarter.
The Bank this morning also revealed that it would offer £13.4 billion today to banks as part of its weekly open market money operations.
Philip Shaw, an economist with Investec, said: "The situation has deteriorated further and that’s consistent with the news over the past few days that mortgage lenders have been raising their rates and withdrawing products. Overall we feel that there is a very strong case for rates coming down next week and we continue to expect a 25 basis point cut to 5 per cent.”
Articles from our sister site WSJ.com:
You may be asked to subscribe to read certain articles
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Get ready for the winter sports season, with our resort guides and snow reports
We are backing British business, what is the confidence of the nation and what businesses are succeeding?
Growing demand for energy, oil that is harder to reach and the rise of carbon dioxide emissions. We examine the energy challenge
With rail travel in Europe on the rise, we review the benefits of travelling by train
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
1998
£47,955
12 months for the price of 11 and a 5% discount.
Offer ends 31/11/09
Check your free Experian credit report before applying
Car Insurance
to £60K + bonus (OTE £90k)
Lord Search & Selection
Location Flexible
PwC’s Consulting practice helps businesses of all shapes
and sizes work smarter and grow faster.
£85k
CPA
Highly Competitve
Specsavers
Whiteley, near Southampton
Moments from Battersea Park.
For sale with Winkworth
Find out about shared ownership.
See your free Experian credit report beforehand
Book now & save over £100pp.
11 cool resorts, lowest prices... Early Booking offers 15 Nov.
20% off selected Azores holidays taken in October with Sunvil Discovery
Get covered on your travels with a superb range of policies at great prices. Visit InsureandGo.com
World Class Golf, Spa and preferential Beach Club. Private estate overlooking West Coast
Villas from £275 per night inclusive of Golf
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.