Hildur Helga Sigurdardottir in Iceland
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While the krona in Iceland still has its staunch defenders, voices demanding
its demise in favour of the euro grow louder by the day.
With interest rates at a record high of 15 per cent, a slippery housing market
and food and petrol prices increasing, it seems that the good times are at
an end.
“We’ll be up and running by autumn,” Geir Haarde, the Prime Minister, said on
television this week. As for speculation on the future of the krona, there
is a hitch: Iceland is not a member of the European Union.
The possibility of EU membership is still merely at the stage of early
discussions. “[It is] an issue we’ll have to look into,” Ingibjorg Solrun
Gisladottir, the Foreign Minister, said.
There are those who have faith in the krona. Last week a gang of criminals
from Eastern Europe was apprehended at Keflavik international airport with
suitcases bulging with several million Icelandic kronas. The loot was the
result of a highly organised weekend raid on Icelandic cash machines. What
everyone wanted to know is where on earth the gang planned to change the
notes into a more usable currency.
Iceland’s so-called economic miracle of recent years, with its invasion of the
British retail business, has meant fewer blank expressions abroad,
especially in a financial context. But now that the bubble might be about to
burst, the response in Iceland is disbelief. Davio Oddsson, a former
Conservative prime minister who is the head of Iceland’s central bank, talks
cryptically of “outside forces” raiding the Icelandic economy, while
Vilhjalmur Egilsson, the director-general of the Confederation of Icelandic
Employers, ticks off the central bank for upping the prime rate.
To the ordinary Icelandic family, the question of where to lay the blame is
immaterial. In a country where parents already spend far too little time
with their offspring, the question of how to squeeze in a third or fourth
job to stay afloat is far more pressing.
Such a family might have taken on a 100 per cent mortgage when, a few years
back, the banks burst into the housing market with no-holds-barred loan
offers. Now they might be seeing the back of the expensive car they bought
on similar conditions and are cheering on the lorry drivers who stage daily,
noisy, protests outside parliament and on the road to the airport, railing
against the rise in petrol prices. They are squirreling away dry goods, such
as wheat and sugar, too, and counting the rising cost of milk products,
which have climbed sharply.
Yet if Icelanders weren’t a nation of plucky optimists, their country would
never have been inhabited in the first place. The chances are they’ll be up
and running again soon.
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EU membership may not solve Iceland's current economic situation. Check these indicators from Eurostat:
Figures as of May 2008:
Latvia: 135.4
Estonia: 122.6
Lithuania: 121.8
Iceland: 120.8
Luxembourg: 110.9
Cyprus: 109.4
Malta: 108
Snorri H. Gudmundsson, Reykjavik, Iceland
You are absolutely right in proclaiming the immediate necessity of Icelandic membership of the EU
KES, ReykjavÃk,
Sæl Hildur,
Yes, you're quite right - the Icelanders are a great bunch, resourceful, optimistic, real Vikings! I love the people and the place.
But there's optimism and there's having liabilities worth eight times GDP hanging over you. David Oddsson said it last week -
"It cannot be denied that the Icelandic economyâs total debt is too high, which can be traced to the decisions made by financial institutions and other companies in the market."
Straight from the top. It was all done by the Icelandic banks and financial companies. No need to blame any nasty foreigners! We've been paying for your cars and houses for a few years now. No need to turn nasty because we want our money back.
Up and running by autumn? Let's be optimistic - Autumn 2015 perhaps?
Ãfram Ãsland!
Bestu kveðjur,
Ginger
Ginger B, Nottingham,