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The Bank of England’s Deputy Governor, Sir John Gieve sided with arch-dove, David Blanchflower, in pushing for a quarter-point cut to the UK interest rates earlier this month as rate-setters voted 7-2 to keep borrowing costs at 5.25 per cent.
Minutes from the Monetary Policy Committee’s (MPC) meeting on March 6, show that Sir John, who is responsible at the Bank for financial stability, and Mr Blanchflower said the prospects for the US economy had worsened since February, financial markets had deteriorated and conditions were expected to remain challenging for some time.
In contrast, the majority of the MPC believed a cut to the UK interest rate “might lead observers to think that the committee was focusing on downside risks to demand at the expense of the medium-term outlook for inflation”.
It emerged yesterday that Consumer Price Index inflation had grown from 2.2 per cent in January to 2.5 per cent in February, elevated by large rises in gas and electricity bills.
The rise is the fifth month in a row that inflation has remained above the Bank's 2 per cent target.
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Keep rates up and stop a crash. Those that have overborrowed will ultimately feel the pinch, but not those who have been sensible. A lower rate against higher inflation will just prolong the uncertainty. Fight hard now and cut in the autumn.
AJD, Leeds,
I don't understand what Gieve and Blanchflower hope to achieve. Do they want to perpetuate the debt culture we have in this country? Have they observed the effect base rate cuts are having in the States? The dollar is crashing ... now the Yanks might be able to afford it with the Chinese currency pretty much tied to the dollar and with oil priced in dollars - but for us it would be suicidal to go down the same route.
Inflation in this country is in reality already at about 5%. If they think we all buy DVD players every week then they are bigger fools than they appear - were that possible.
It's time for the medicene. You can't live on debt forever. You can't eternally inflate the housing market. Even when credit was still cheap and easy, the market had reached limits of affordability.
Let the housing market crash. Encourage saving and investment and let people know - it's debt payback time.
Dropping BOE rates and having lenders raise rates makes the BOE look powerless.
Mike Wilson, Winchester,
Someone in the UK....
we are in this mess as central banks have continuously kept rates below where they should be, while letting banks know that they will come to the rescue by cutting rates each time. Money market rates used to be higher than BoE rates and that reversed in recent years. We are merely returning to normality. How sad is it that at such low rates we are panicking...sign of too much debt!
So the solution is to cut rates yet again? Lets carry on until we are indebted into infinity...if the rate at which mortgages loans (read as too much money given so people put in higher bids) have been given since 2004 continued, anyone who owns a house from 2018 would only be able to do so if all of their income was used just to pay the interest.
And that is before payments on unsecured loans (mortgage equity withdrawal). Given the linear trend to infinity claimed by optimists, I would love to hear their theory on how we could carry on borrowing as we have.
Raj, London,
Exactly how low does Sterling have to go and how high does inflation have to go before the media stop talking up the 'need' for rate cuts. Enough is enough, stop trying to reinflate the credit bubble!
Paul, Coventry,
i am not concerned with the losses for the bank. they made their deal and over leveraged themselves so they should pay the price. according to ian we should be paying more interest so the banks can reduce their losses.
from where i stand the high interest point only helps the banks. if the interest point comes down by 0.5 % to 1% normal people(who have decent credit history) like us can then remortgage or restructure our loans etc. this would take off the pressure coming in from high inflation and higher day to day costs. what money i can save of my mortgage and loans etc can be used for my higher living costs but if the interest point stays high and the economy goes in a downward spiral how do the normal folks survive??
please enlighten me if what i say is wrong
tarun, birmingham, uk
Its widely accepted that our rate of borrowing is unsustainable, so why does he want to postpone the inevitable? Rates should not be cut to maintain the housing bubble and devalue the pound in the process. Do these MPC doves have large portfolios of investment properties by any change?
L Mckay, Newcastle, Tyne & Wear
Interesting to see that the previous contributors both live overseas ? where they are no doubt shielded from the daily realities of life in the UK under an incompetent Labour government. As for the Bank of England, talk about fiddling whilst Rome burns !
Nodders, Staff,
Does Sir John not realise that an interest rate cut by the BoE is unlikely to have any effect on the market? The banks cannot afford to reduce their own rates and they need every penny to cover their losses. Confidence has gone and the market is heading for a sharp correction. No amount of cutting by the BoE will change that until the correction is complete.
Ian, London, UK
The interest rates should remain the same.Any attempt to lower the interest rates will only delay the financial and other economic problems for a later date in a worst financial and economic storrm.I believe that the US will face worst economic problems at a later date.All these economic problems are the result of Greenspan's low interest rates.
NICHOLAS, LARNACA, CYPRUS
He only has one word in his vocabulary - CUT
Yorkie, Amsterdam,