Gary Duncan, Economics Editor
Win a £1500 Raymond Weil watch
The euro vaulted to new record highs this morning after a hawkish European Central Bank held interest rates and dug in its heels against any early cuts despite growing fears over the single currency’s strength.
The ECB hardline stance was underlined by Jean-Claude Trichet, its President, as it raised its forecasts for likely inflation rates during this year and next, while cutting its projections for eurozone growth.
The Frankfurt-based central bank now expects that if it were to cut eurozone interest rates as markets expect, to about 3.25 per cent next year from their present 4 per cent level, eurozone inflation would average 2.9 per cent this year, rather than the 2.5 per cent the ECB previously projected.
The forecast also showed that, based on the markets’ rates expectations, inflation in 2009 would be 2.1 per cent, up from the previous projection of 1.8 per cent, and stuck above the ECB’s target of “close to, but below 2 per cent”.
“The latest information has confirmed the existence of strong, short-term upward pressure on inflation,” Mr Trichet said. He made clear that the ECB was in no mood to fulfil market predictions of rate reductions or bow to political pressure for action to bolster European growth. Curbing inflationary price pressures was the central bank’s focus, he insisted.
“We emphasise that maintaining price stability in the medium-term is our primary objective, in accordance with our mandate,” he said. He stressed that this was the “highest priority of the [ECB’s] Governing Council”.
The ECB conceded in its forecasts that eurozone growth was now likely to be weaker than it previously hoped. It now projects growth in the 15-nation zone will be 1.7 per cent this year, down from its previous 2 per cent expectation.
In 2009, the growth forecast was cut to 1.8 per cent, from 2.1 per cent previously.
Despite demands for the ECB to underpin growth with lower borrowing costs, Mr Trichet made clear that the decision to leave rates on hold yesterday was taken unanimously by the Governing Council. He rejected claims that the ECB was jeopardising eurozone growth prospects.
“There is no contradiction between price stability, and growth and job creation,” he said.
Economists said that the ECB’s tough stance suggested that, while it was likely to eventually cut eurozone interest rates, any move was unlikely before June at the earliest.
The hardline comments from Mr Trichet and markets’ expectations that interest rate cuts are not imminent added to upward pressure on the euro.
In its latest steep gains, the euro climbed to another all-time high of $1.5372 as the dollar remained under intense pressure on foreign exchange markets.
Articles from our sister site WSJ.com:
You may be asked to subscribe to read certain articles
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Get ready for the winter sports season, with our resort guides and snow reports
We are backing British business, what is the confidence of the nation and what businesses are succeeding?
Growing demand for energy, oil that is harder to reach and the rise of carbon dioxide emissions. We examine the energy challenge
With rail travel in Europe on the rise, we review the benefits of travelling by train
In this special section we explore new food trends to help improve your dinner party and impress guests
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
1998
£47,955
2004
£56,950
Essex
Check your free Experian credit report before applying
Car Insurance
£100,000
Barnardos
UK
£123,460 pa
The Law Commission
London
Hampshire County Council
Competitive + bonus + benefits
Manchester United
Central London
Moments from Battersea Park.
For sale with Winkworth
Find out about shared ownership.
See your free Experian credit report beforehand
Includes flights, accommodation with room upgrades, transfers city tours in Hong Kong and Bangkok.
PremierHolidays.co.uk
For your ultimate tailor-made ski holiday, click here
Get covered on your travels with a superb range of policies at great prices. Visit InsureandGo.com
Choose from the beautiful landscape and tranquil beaches of Oahu, Kauai, Maui & Big Island.
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.