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Wall Street yesterday derided President Bush for insisting that America had not fallen into a recession just as Washington published appalling economic growth and jobless numbers.
New York's stock market ignored President Bush's optimistic remarks and the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 130 points - representing a 1 per cent decline.
Official statistics yesterday showed that the number of Americans claiming unemployment benefit over a four-week period now matches the level immediately before the last recession in March 2001. Last week, jobless claims across the US jumped 19,000 to 373,000, well above the expected 350,000.
At the same time, revised numbers showed that the American economy had grown at 0.6 per cent in the fourth quarter of the year, having shrunk from 4.9 per cent growth in the third quarter.
However, President Bush yesterday urged Wall Street to wait for the effect of his $150 billion tax rebate economic stimulus package to filter through.
"We've acted robustly and now it's time to determine whether or not this program will actually work,” President Bush said. “There's no question the economy's slowed down. I don't think we're headed to a recession."
However, Ian Shepherdson, chief US economist at High Frequency Economics, said: "Who cares what the President says? Look at the numbers. The housing sector is in meltdown. Jobless claims are now at a recession pace. The domestic economy shrank in Q4. The only thing that saved America were strong exports - thank God for the weak dollar."
He added: "The big risk is that a recession lasts a lot longer than the normal cycle of about three quarters of a year. This time it will take time for Americans to sell their homes rescue their overstretched finances because they are trying to sell all at once. Discretionary consumption is likely to be trashed, that didn't happen in the last recession, and it is very alarming."
Elsewhere in Washington, Ben Bernanke, chairman of the US Federal Reserve, yesterday told Congress that America is “not anywhere near” the dangerous stagflation situation that prevailed in the 1970s.
“I don’t anticipate stagflation,” Mr Bernanke told the Senate Banking Committee. Later this month (March), the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by another half of a percentage point to 2.5 per cent in a bid to boost consumer spending. But there are fears on Wall Street that the successive rate cuts could fuel a sharp rise in inflation, currently at 4 per cent.
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Indeed! Comical George.
John, Toronto, Canada
After reading this article, i think it highlights important factors to any voter in any country. Firstly make sure who ever you vote for is actually competent to run a country (& don't just look the part.) & secondly i think this article also underlines the reasons that if a country (or group of countries.) goes to war then it so important that you go to war for the right reasons.
The reason why President Bush says there is no recession is because the war in Iraq was suspose to provide America with plentiful cheap oil. The reality is a barrel of oil is now at record levels and this is obviously having a sever affect not only on the American economy but also the world economy. George Bush admitting that the US is in recession is impossible because that means admitting the war in Iraq has been a complete failure and lets face it, thats all his internal/external policy has been about, war=cheap oil=further American prosperity. However, it just hasn't paned out like that, has it.
Richard Passley, gibralter,
like father like son. war and a recession. great job george.
stephen, china, china
And to think Bush was laughing at the Iraqi information minister a few years ago. I can just about hear similar words now: "The American economy is sound, everything is alright, because we have outlawed recession and inflation." A possible case of plagiarism for the lawyers, perhaps?
anthony, london, england
When I read quotes like this, I really wonder if George Bush did actually manage to quit drinking and drug taking in the 1970's.
He's clearly living in a paisley-coloured hallucinogenic bubble while the majority of his fellow Americans go struggle with the consequences of his policies.
What a tragedy that the world has had to endure this redneck President and his buckaroo politics.
John, Bournemouth,
I think characterizing Mr. Bush's discussions of economics as the maunderings of a blithering fool might be a kind estimation of his economic acumen. On Monday he told us that the war in Iraq hasn't had a negative effect on the American economy. He also said today that he believes in the strong American dollar:
Euro in June 2001, $.94.
Euro in February 2008, $1.51
'nuff said.
David Leach
David Leach, Salem, MA
Interesting times with Bush and Bernanke in the roles of King Canute. The US and UK need to allow this correction to consumer spending. Any injection of liquidity or cut in interest rates will pour oil on the flames and exacerbate inflationary pressures.
If Bush had any sense of concern for the ordinary US citizen he would now kick-off a Marshall Plan to turn round the US economy from consumption to more wealth creating industry . America did it in the Second World War now do it again!
Steve Marchant, Broadhempston, Devon
president bush does not no how to run a country so how will he know about recession. i think he should just step down from his seat and give it to some one who can actulay run the country and not start unecessary wars. he is just trying to act like hitler but from behind like a coward unlike hitler who hit from the front.
destruction, hayes, england
Truth has never been Bush's forte. Therefore, no one pays much attention to what he says anymore.
Garth Strong, San Diego, USA
i dis agree i think george bush is stupied and can not run the country so what will he know about recession. he should stay out of these things if he dosnt understand them and leave it to the professionals. he meddels to much in everything, he starts wars for no reason aswell.
sahil ahmad , hayes, united kingdom
George Bush says there is no recession - well I believe everything the man says. Can't wait to get my check and spend it on a new wide-screen TV, so I can pay those Chinese workers that took my job.
John C, San Jose, Ca