Tom Bawden in New York
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Ben Bernanke, the Chairman of the US Federal Reserve, gave warning yesterday that the total loss from defaults on American sub-prime mortgages could eventually reach $100 billion (£49 billion) and indicated that banks needed to devalue further the bonds backed by these high-risk home loans.
Mr Bernanke announced that he was drafting rules that could make it compulsory for borrowers to prove their income, as he attempts to put a floor under America’s housing market slump, which is rapidly spreading beyond the mortgage industry and contaminating financial markets.
He is also working on a new rule that would limit lenders’ scope to penalise early mortgage repayments, as part of a campaign to reduce the potential for defaults that result from fraudulent or unreasonable lending practices.
Mr Bernanke said that losses relating to mortgages, which include bonds backed by home-loan repayments, could reach $100 billion, before hinting that the eventual losses may be higher still.
“A lot of the sub-prime mortgage paper is not, you know, as good as was thought originally,” Mr Bernanke said yesterday, on the second day of his twice-yearly report to Congress on the US economy.
“The credit-rating agencies have begun to make sure they account for those losses and they have downgraded some of these products.”
Mr Bernanke said that he was working with some banks to help them to assess the value of mortgage assets such as collateralised debt obligations, or pools of bonds backed by sub-prime home loans.
Mr Bernanke has been criticised in Congress for not doing enough to prevent the meltdown in America’s sub-prime mortgage market, which was prompted by increasingly lax lending practices that led to a surge in defaults.
However, Mr Bernanke defended himself, saying that the Federal Reserve was undertaking a “top-to-bottom” review of lending practices.
“We are moving as fast as we possibly can,” he said.
At about the time that Mr Bernanke was speaking, Standard & Poor’s said that it had cut its rating on a further 418 mortgage-backed securities, worth about $3.8 billion, in some cases by as many as eight notches.
The bonds, some of which saw their rating cut from AAA to BBB, were backed by so-called second-lien, or piggyback, mortgages.
These are taken out alongside the main home loan and charge a higher interest rate because the primary mortgage lender has first claim on the house.
S&P added that it expects that second-lien loan losses “will significantly exceed historical precedent” and will be much higher than its previous forecasts.
Sub-prime jitters continued to fuel speculation that more hedge funds were running into difficulties.
One London-based fund-of-hedge-funds manager said that if well-regarded hedge fund managers such as Bear Stearns and Dillon Read Capital Management could get into trouble, there were bound to be others.
He added: “There is extreme angst among the prime brokers [investment banks providing finance and dealing services to hedge funds].”
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But hey, we're doing our level best to replicate this catastrophe in the UK now with ever more desperate people seeking any means to get a foot on the housing ladder based on ever soaring prices because our government and their pet contractors will not build enough houses, linked with stupidly greedy lending practices and 6 rate rises in 12 months. The housing bubble is the only thing keeping our economy afloat and the our wonderfully thick, greedy and incompetent government seems intent on wrecking this too. Go team GB!
phil, frenchville, uk
Yes, and the greed continues with related huge increases in rental rates - my rent has increased 165 dollars a month in the last 13 month period after staying fairly static during the three years before that. As homeowners lose their homes and move their families into apartments, the landlords see that it is their turn to mop up and they are. It's very strange to hear the landlords in Austin excitedly talk about the current "boom" in their business - they don't spare one second thinking about what's causing this "boom" or what that really means for their own economic future, let alone the futures of their fellow citizens and neighbors. Make hay while the sun shines (at the expense of any and everyone else)? Wonder when the tent cities are going to start dotting the landscape from coast to coast...
B. Ogdon, Austin, Texas
I think the real problem lies in the knock on affect that will eventually spread to the rest of the U.S economy when the feel good effect of high property prices collapses.
The only possible good effect of the credit binge and the resultant devaluation of the U.S.D is the reduction in international terms of the value (not the amount) of the U.S foreign debt, but what a price to pay.
I believe the time is coming when we in the West have to learn to live within our means. This will be bustingly hard for a large percentage of the population.
Chris Kenney, High Wycombe, England
The late comedian Eddie Cantor once said (circa 1930s) that the only difference between playing the market and playing the ponies was that one of the horses was bound to win. Perhaps those times have come again. So soon we forget eh? The same "our money is gonna double overnight", and "you can't miss with this opportunity" mindset was present in stock speculation (on margin) in 1929 - for students of history - as is present in the current housing market (also on margin). There was never a better time to live below your means.. Cheers.
Henry Lucas, Wash, D.C. ,
sad, and terrible news, banks in the haste to satisfy shareholders along with other lending agencies are keen to give the buyer an umbrella when its sunny, but when it rains they take the umbrella away. what is needed is a structure like the third world debt countries get. help those who are in trouble restructure, reduce lending interest rates, banks and others to help redress the balance. If the USA gets into trouble we all will.
philip parkinson, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
Just the start of another harvest of the public's wealth. Remember Greenspan encouraging U.S. citizens to take out floating rate mortgages as he saw little upside risk. All of this is planned, if you get people into debt they become vulnerable and they are so concerned about their own situation they have little time or will for protest, in the meantime the moneylenders confiscate the public's assets with funds provided to them by the Central Banks and hold these until the market recovers. If you think the World is run by people who care for others you are completely wrong, the World is run by racketeers.
ADScott, Bangkok, Thailand
Do not be so harsh on your fellow countrymen. Just as over here in the UK, the politicans are as much to blame.
Anyone pointing out the folly of lending large amounts of money to those with obvious problems in repaying such sums were accused of either racism, elitism,ageism etc etc
Both charges readily made by attention (and vote seeking) politicans and their ilk.
Needless to say those selfsame politicans will not pick up the bill (tab)
Peter Bolt, Redditch, UK
greed always wins out for a while. Common sense takes a back seat.
ben barr, cornwall, ca/pei
Well I told you so, (and everybody else).
Bob Burnit, Midlothian, Texas
Ha ha ha ha ha - tis but mirthly delight to watch this sophisticated greed turn into the slime bucket it really is. But this is only the tip of the iceberg. The misfortune of shortsighted economics commonly known as globalization, of which financial schemes like hedge funds and the like are but collateral damage, can only continue to grow as the demon of capital and its addiction to slave labor destroy the stolid, alienate neighbors, pit nation against nation and, eventually, suck everybody dry for the profit of an ever diminishing cadre of obscenely rich and clever gnomes.
Phil Ceretto, Milwaukee, USA
It was all planned, in my humble oppinion. Alan Greenspan allowed sub-prime morgage rates to linger to low for too many years. Millions and millions of people bought homes they really could not afford. Now, their're loosing those homes and the lenders are mopping up.
oscar m. coile, Byron, USA Ga.
The finicial world brought this on themselves, by letting people that couldn't afford to buy homes,falsely qualify for a teaser loan. Sure we sold homes & stimulated the economy, putting a lot of good people in finicial distress. These subprime lenders should never had been allowed to operate, Greed & stimulating the economy got us into this mess. Time for a realistic correction in loan procedures. We should forgive the imposed penaltys & let these people keep the low rates & their homes. Simple 5th grade math indicates that this would be less of a burden on the economy than the path that we have chosen, to forclose on entrapped loans. Better get real we can't have our cake & eat it too at the expense of fellow american home buyers Just fix it & lets bite the bullet & move on, the sooner the better.!!!
Cliff Hess, Houston, Texas