Steve Hawkes
Download your 2 for 1 Pizza Express voucher
One of Britain’s biggest financial trade bodies warned the Bank of England today not to raise interest rates to 6 per cent despite revealing that mortgage lending soared to a record £34.2 billion in June.
The Council for Mortgage Lenders (CML) urged the Bank’s rate-setting Monetary Policy Committee to “carefully assess” the impact of the five rate hikes made over the past year before taking any further action.
The body, which represents banks and building societies across the UK, added that June’s record gross lending figure may have been distorted by the sheer number of homebuyers rushing to complete before rates went up, as widely predicted beforehand, in July.
Michael Coogan, the CML director-general, said: “Despite the record level of mortgage lending, there are signs that the market is feeling the cumulative effects of the five interest rate rises we have seen over the past year.
“This effect will become more evident in the coming months.
"We believe the MPC should carefully assess the impact of past rises on inflationary pressures before it takes further action."
The warning came as official figures showed that retail sales in June were 3.4 per cent up on a year ago, slightly less than expected, adding to the case for rates to be kept on hold.
The Office for National Statistics added that food sales rose by their lowest monthly rate since 1999.
Halifax, the UK mortgage lender, later increased its forecast on house price inflation for 2007 as a whole from a previous 4 per cent to 6 per cent but put the rise down to faster than expected growth in the first six months of the year. It said that price inflation was now beginning to slow.
Philip Shaw, chief economist at Investec, said: “There are an increasing number of signs that consumer-related areas are experiencing a slowdown.
“And that supports the argument that the Monetary Policy Committee should wait and see for a number of months rather than rush into raising rates.”
The Bank of England pushed the cost of borrowing up to 5.75 per cent this month, a move expected for weeks beforehand.
Stronger-than-expected inflation figures yesterday briefly raised fears that rates could rise next month.
The £34.2 billion of gross mortgage lending recorded by the CML in June compares with £31.4 billion in May — a 9 per cent rise.
The month-on-month increase was 12 per cent in 2006 and 15 per cent in 2005.
The CML said that much of June’s record was driven by remortgaging rather than new home loans.
Only two days ago, the CML said house prices could rise by the smallest amount for more than a decade in 2008.
House price growth is running at 10 per cent, but the CML expects this rate to halve by the end of the year.
Articles from our sister site WSJ.com:
You may be asked to subscribe to read certain articles
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Get ready for the winter sports season, with our resort guides and snow reports
We are backing British business, what is the confidence of the nation and what businesses are succeeding?
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
2006/06
£POA
Surrey
2009
£114,950
Derbyshire
The best policy at the
best price
Be Wiser Insurance
£POA
Surrey
Highly competitive six figure
Nationwide
Swindon
Competitive benefits package
Chartered Institute of Builders
Ascot
Competitive salary + benefits
NHS Direct
London
£125K
Meltwater News
Nationwide Positions
With Part Exchange Crest Nicholson could get you moving.
Award-winning riverside development, SW11.
Luxury apartments for sale from £350,000.
Find out more about our luxurious apartments and houses for sale in the heart of Sussex.
for sale in the French Alps
from E189,000.
We're offering extra savings on Voyager & Adventure of the seas Mediterranean Cruises fr £549.
Book by 28 Feb!
Includes 3* accommodation throughout, a 15 minute Apollo night helicopter flight down the Las Vegas strip and United Airlines flights from Heathrow.
Same break by air costs £189. Valid for weekend travel until 31 Aug 10.
Get covered on your travels with a superb range of policies at great prices
Visit InsureandGo.com
Family friendly villas with Quality Villas. Book with the specialists.
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Milkround
Copyright 2010 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.