David Wighton: Business Editor's commentary
Win 100 iconic DVDs
The number of corporate destinations possible for British Airways is now as bewildering as the route map in the back of the inflight magazine.
Willie Walsh could fly it off to Madrid for a merger with Iberia or to Sydney for a deal with Qantas or even to Texas for a tie-up with American Airlines.
It is a measure of how the industry has been transformed over the past few months that he might just do all three. The pressure for consolidation is now so intense that the obstacles that have prevented so many attempted mergers in the past are crumbling.
A merger with Qantas is very far from a done deal, but the fact that Qantas approached BA at least suggests that the Australian Government is keen.
The rules preventing foreigners owning a majority of either airline will require some corporate contortions. A company dual-listed in London and Sydney with separate boards will hardly be the most manoeuvrable of vehicles.
But it would certainly pack some punch.
Arguably the first truly global airline, the merged company would hope to generate much more additional revenue than from the existing passenger-sharing agreement. There would also be very significant potential cost savings.
The Air France-KLM merger, agreed four years ago, is expected to generate more than £600 million of savings this year. Qantas and BA, which have a combined market value of only £3.7 billion, might hope for something similar.
No wonder BA's share price rose 12 per cent yesterday.
A potential deal will bring fears about job cuts from BA's 42,000-strong workforce and it will also raise competition concerns.
A merged company would handle almost half of the London-Sydney traffic and Richard Branson's Virgin Atlantic was predictably quick to attack the proposal.
If Mr Walsh also managed to clinch a deal with Iberia and a tie-up with American, the resulting group would operate nearly half of all flights from Heathrow.
The industry is in a dire state, thanks to the spike in the oil price followed by the slump in demand as the global economy has tanked. Airline bosses hope that this will weaken the resolve of competition authorities, which is why Ryanair is having another tilt at Aer Lingus. But it is by no means clear that the regulators will be prepared to rip up all the rules.
There is some hard negotiating to be done between BA and Qantas before we reach that point, not least over who would run the merged company. Discussions with Iberia have dragged on for months, with BA's huge pension deficit one of the sticking points.
But now is surely the time for bold action and it is good to see BA taking the lead, even if the final destination is still unclear.
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Get ready for the winter sports season, with our resort guides and snow reports
We are backing British business, what is the confidence of the nation and what businesses are succeeding?
Growing demand for energy, oil that is harder to reach and the rise of carbon dioxide emissions. We examine the energy challenge
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
36-month car lease
on contract hire for
£359.99 plus VAT pm
12 months for the price of 11 and a 5% discount.
Offer ends 31/11/09
The UK's leading alternative to showroom finance.
Finance packages tailored to your needs.
Minimum loan of £15,000
Car Insurance
c£100,000 + car, bonus & bens
Lord Search & Selection
Midlands
Competitive salary + NHS pens
The Council for Healthcare Regulatory Excellence (CHRE)
London
Not Specified
The Sheppard Trust
London
£31,842 – £38,378pa
Charity Commision
London, Liverpool or Taunton
Moments from Battersea Park.
For sale with Winkworth.
See your free Experian credit report beforehand
Book now & save over £100pp.
11 cool resorts, lowest prices... Early Booking offers 15 Nov.
20% off selected Azores holidays taken in October with Sunvil Discovery
Get covered on your travels with a superb range of policies at great prices. Visit InsureandGo.com
World Class Golf, Spa and preferential Beach Club. Private estate overlooking West Coast
Villas from £275 per night inclusive of Golf
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.