David Wighton: Business Editor’s commentary
Download 'Too Hot', an exclusive Specials track from iTunes
If the $700 billion American bank bailout plan is voted down, or even if it goes through, what should the British Government do to help to bolster banks on this side of the Atlantic?
Yesterday’s move by the Irish Government to guarantee deposits in its banks added another item to the wish-list of British banks.
They rightly complain that the Irish guarantee puts them at a competitive disadvantage. The French and Belgian governments have also made clear they stand behind all retail deposits in their banks, even if they have not issued such an explicit pledge as the Irish.
It might be a bit much to expect the British Government to go as far as the Irish by guaranteeing not only retail deposits but all lending to the banks by other institutions right down to subordinated debt. This would be to transfer a huge risk from the banking sector to the State, even if, as in the Irish case, the guarantee supposedly will be priced on commercial terms.
However, to make explicit the implicit guarantee on retail deposits would prevent the sort of run on the bank that forced the Government to act to rescue Bradford & Bingley last weekend (even if it might have only postponed the inevitable). And it would somewhat reduce the risk that a sharp fall in a bank’s share price could trigger a self-fulfilling crisis of confidence.
In a conference call with Alistair Darling last night, the banks were expected to urge other policy changes to help them, and the economy, through the crisis.
Some are pressing for a broadening of the Bank of England’s Special Liquidity Scheme to allow banks to pledge a wider range of assets in return for government bonds. The allowable assets could include securities backed by buy-to-let mortgages, self-certified mortgages and even more toxic securities.
One proposal would see the scheme reformed so that banks would not be forced to pledge more assets to offset any short-term deterioriation in the assets already earmarked. This would protect banks from the risk of a further downturn in the market for asset-backed securities just as the American plan would. A more radical proposal would involve some suspension of the requirement to “mark-to-market” such asset-backed securities.
Many bank executives, regulators and academics believe that the credit crunch has been greatly exacerbated by the accounting rules that force banks to take losses on assets they continue to hold but whose market price has fallen. For many of the more complex mortgage-backed securities, there are virtually no buyers and the “market prices” are widely agreed to be way below the assets’ likely long-term value.
The heavy losses that many banks have taken on these assets have seriously weakened their balance sheets, forcing them either to raise more capital or rein in new lending. A number of leading banks have pressed for a suspension of the mark-to-market rules. But others, notably Goldman Sachs, have argued strongly against.
The critics say that such a move would be very dangerous and point to the experience of the US savings and loan crisis, in which the lack of such accounting rules meant that the insolvency of scores of lenders went unrecognised for a prolonged period with very costly consequences.
But if it would be dangerous to scrap fair-value accounting permanently, that does not mean it should be ruled out as a temporary emergency measure. If the American bank bailout plan fails, it should be seriously considered.
Win a luxury weekend to Newcastle and its neighbour Gateshead, find out more here
Risk, resilience and embracing new technology
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Discover the power of collective thinking. Submit a solution and be in with a chance to win a Media Hub Home Entertainment System
The inside track on current trends in the charity, not for profit and social enterprise sectors
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Make the most of the summer and enter our fabulous photographic competition, you could win a £5000 holiday
Corsica is an island of beauty and contrast, an ideal holiday destination
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
The clever way to lease a new car is with Car leasing made simple™
2009
per month on 36-month
Personal Contract Hire (PCH)
2008
42850
Car Insurance
£24,250 - £30,346
MI5
London
£60,000
The Environment Agency
Bristol
Up to £90K
Boots
Midlands
OTE £85k
Credit Protection Association
Nationwide Opportunities
Completely London
Luxury Condo's in Manhattan with NYC views
The best new homes in Wimbledon?
Nationwide
Fabulous Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers Including Virgin Atlantic Flights Prices Start From Only £699pp!
Last Minute Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers. Med From £499pp, Caribbean From £699pp!
5 star quality at a 3 star price.
8 fabulous Canadian cities ...you won’t find cheaper
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Property Finder | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.
Scraping the markto-market rule sounds like another way of betting to me. they are down now but in the future they will be up again. right...????
i think i have heard that one before.
henry, notts,
Get the media together and change sentiment. Give a cheque to every person in the UK so that they can get the economy going again. Nationalise mortgage lending in the UK and offer people mortgage rates at same level of Govt Gilts roughly 4% so they can stay in their homes.
Rupert, London, UK
Churchill recounts how in 1940 he introduced insurance against bombing, against Treasury opposition. Needless to say it generated a powerful incentive to stop German bombers, and in the end the State made a profit.
jon livesey, Sunnyvale, CA/USA
The issue here is liquidity so there is a choice. 1. Force the banks with new legislation to provide it to one another or 2. get the Bank of England to receive end of day deposits and then reissue to the market. Also don't repossess rent out the property to the owner until things calm.
GLM, Worcester,