Carl Mortished: World business briefing
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Head-Smashed-In is a buffalo jump in Alberta, Canada, a communal kill site where the Plains Indians drove herds of North American bison off the edge of a cliff. Over thousands of years, the Plains tribes developed the skill of goading buffalo towards a precipice. As the animals thundered towards the drop, those in front would try to stop but the sheer weight of the stampeding herd pressing from behind would force the buffalo over the edge.
Unesco has designated the buffalo killing ground a World Heritage Site. It seems odd to venerate a place that played a part in the near-extinction of those glorious animals. It is right to do so, however, because it tells us how the Plains Indians once lived in periods of food abundance, just as the abandoned trading floors at Lehman Brothers tell us how extravagant Americans and Britons lived by the reckless accumulation of debt in the early years of the 21st century.
Wall Street is as worthy of World Heritage Status as the bison boneyard at Head-Smashed-In. America’s financial centre is not yet extinct, but people are calling time on the investment banks. Two have failed – Bear Stearns and Lehman – and a third, Merrill Lynch, has been swallowed up by an old-fashioned lender, Bank of America, which fancied owning a big stockbroker.
In a matter of days, it has become the fashion to say that the investment bank model is dead. These free-standing institutions that combine corporate advice, lending, stock trading, underwriting and wealth management lack the comfort of millions of retail depositors – the advantage of Bank of America.
They must, therefore, borrow from other banks and, when credit markets stall, their elaborate gaming strategies in complex financial instruments become unsustainable. Soon, the oracles predict, the remaining investment banks Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs will disappear into the giant maws of dull high street lenders.
The regular supply of cash is a problem for investment banks, but it is not the root of the problem. The ownership of Merrill Lynch by Bank of America won’t insure against a further outbreak of excess. It will simply shift the risk of excess to the shareholders of Bank of America, who may not have bargained for it.
We can see the tensions between retail lending and fancy investment banking at UBS, which let its own tribe of pinstripes loose to play in the mortgage derivative markets, with catastrophic results.
We now know that the sub-prime securitised mortgage market was little more than a giant pyramid selling scheme in which simple transactions, loans to buy homes, were packaged, bundled, sold, refinanced and the credit risk insured by myriad institutions. None of the bankers who grabbed the passing parcels had any means of ascertaining the solvency of the ultimate borrowers, nor any idea of the true value of the bricks and mortar that underpinned the loans.
If we want to know why some bankers behave like bison racing to the cliff-edge, we need to remember where they came from. The guts of an investment bank is the broker-dealer model, the merging of two types of business: brokers – people who act as agents for investors, buying and selling securities on their behalf – and dealers – who act as principal, trading securities for their own account.
Three decades ago, brokers and dealers (the latter were known as stock jobbers in Britain) were separate partnerships, owned by the management whose personal wealth was on the line every day, in every trade. I remember visiting a jobber’s pitch in 1985 on the floor of the London Stock Exchange, where a lad barely out of school scribbled entries into a large, black ledger. He could mentally tot up his long or short position at feverish speed from a page of buy and sell orders.
Today, the books are electronic and the positions algorithmic, but the point is not a sentimental one. Today’s broker-dealers have no skin in the game – they are staff and the bosses are staff. Their rewards in shares are a bonus, never a liability.
The Big Bang in London in the mid-Eighties and the earlier deregulation in New York transformed a business made up of ruthless individuals joined together by a merchant’s compact into a tower of corporate ego. Merchant banks, such as SG Warburg and Morgan Stanley, bought brokers and jobbers and the culture of personal ownership and personal risk quietly vanished.
It’s difficult to imagine the boy on the exchange floor behaving like Jérôme Kerviel, the Société Générale trader who set fire to his bank’s balance sheet, and it is not just a question of scale or computers. It is about the corporate mindset that makes risk political, a struggle between managerial egos rather than a simple balance of good bets versus dangerous gambles. It is the difference between directors’ service agreements – with generous severance terms – and joint and several liability.
Partnerships are run by people who know that their home is at risk if they get it wrong, but for Dick Fuld, the chief executive of Lehman, no such danger threatened. His greatest fear was losing face. Ego, not greed was what drove Lehman off the cliff and ego will put paid to Wall Street, too.
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Karen, Oxford: Please don't loose sympathy for all Lehman employees! There are a number in supporting roles, (IT, HR etc) who never earned anymore than they would have working in other sectors, and HAVE been suffering like the rest of us all year. (I know - I had a lucky escape by leaving in Jan!)
Andrew, London,
Having consulted to the finance sector, I was shocked at how 'complex and specialised' they believed their models to be. I was even more shocked to discover how unaware they were of underlying theoretical flaws behind basic economic assumptions. Result: meltdown & panic when these flaws manifest.
Richard, Sydney,
Profits were privatised, losses are socialised. Win-win for investment bankers. Lose-lose for the everyone else.
John Smythe, Guildford, UK
Yes agreed. Aarrogant pins stripe weering false talking investment bankers who are rewarded hugh sums when they make a few sales but when it all goes wrong they take no responsibility, its the rest of the economy and the shareholders/client that take the hit. I have no sympathy for the lot of them.
Greg, London,
You have it right. When there are no personal risks there is rash and reckless behaviour. I fundamentally agree that great performance should be rewarded but the harsh and sobering mitigator must be that ' If you risk, you can win big but may lose all. If the world has changed I hope we learn long
M Zauner, Norwich,
this was always going to happen, there has beena financial services boom for getting on for 20 years- at the end of a boom of that scale you do well to get away with a simple reccesion.
risk needs to be introduced to the traders not just the company. that way the traders have liability too.
will, grimsby, uk
I was under the impression that the multi million dollar wages, bonuses, cheap stock options, perks and fancy pin striped Wall St bankers suits was because they were the best and brightest. Looks to me we were all fooled.
Roy, Kamloops, Canada
"It seems odd to venerate a place that played a part in the near-extinction of those glorious animals."
Hello - when those hunting practices were employed, buffalo filled the Great Plains. The European-based hunting ethos and practices accomplished the near-extinction.
john, Mobridge, USA
Exactly pass the parcel economics. There is no incentive for bankers, or politicians, to swap the lunacy of a sub-prime boom for a timely reigning in of the economy. They only react to the inevitable when it occurs to them that they might be the ones still holding the parcel when it disintegrates.
Louise Thomas, Brighton, UK
Carl, well said about the Native Americans... that's exactly it... they understood/understand that it is an honor just to be here, and we must simply crack on.
At first do no harm... peace pipes all around please.
Mark, London,
I am no finance whizz. Reading this makes me quite angry. Yesterday I had a bit of sympathy for the 5K Brits made redundant from Lehman Bros - now, I just think suffer with the rest of us as we try to juggle to pay ever rising fuel bills and other basic costs...no more porsches and expensive suits
Karen, Oxford, UK
I can't wait for all those egotistical tie wearing brokers to go bust. It proves that in the end non productive high wage earners get their cum uppance. In London they have been partly responsible for rising property prices with their huge yearly bonuses - unearned in the true sense.
tony, Birmingham, UK
Actually the near extinction of the buffalo was caused by the US Army, who shot and burned every buffalo they saw in an attempt to wipe out the Native American tribes -another group of noble survivors who nearly faced extinction. The native peoples only killed what they needed and used every scrap.
Irene, Boston, usa
What is striking is that in today's so-called economic democracy there are no democratic financial rules, no social rules, no trust. A powerful and rich minority (cf Microsoft monopoly ) can fleece the vast majority of people of moderate means. Surely trade union power was never quite as bad.
paul, London ,
To say that the Plains Indians contributed to the extinction of the bison shows a complete ignorance of the history of North America and a misguided laying of blame.
It was the Europeans and their descendants who laid waste to this continent...not the native inhabitants.
Kevin, Fredericton, Canada
How about 'City Gent' for an oxymoron?
Tom FitzPatrick, Burgess Hill, England
The last bastion of capitalism being run by neo-commies what a state we are all in. If someone had told me this 40 odd years ago when I first met people in the American financial world they would have though me 'raving'.
Victor M, Cricklewood, England
It is quite true to say that the failure of the various banks and institutions was more or less based on the lack of probity.
Someone must have thought just maybe once, that amassing such massive debt was not a good move but then the bonus either monetary of stock eased the trouble brow.
Howard Leech, Gdansk, Poland
It also seems that failure is rewarded with multi millions in pay offs for those at the top while those at the bottom carry the ultimate risk with the losses The problem with all this is that personal responsibility for anything is difficult to find.
Alan, Luton,