David Wighton: Business Editor’s commentary
Attend an evening with Andre Agassi
Sorry somehow seems a bit inadequate when you've just flushed away $1.29 billion of your clients' money. But Dwight Anderson, in his letter to investors, isn't giving much more explanation for his epic adventure in value destruction since the start of the year. Imagine tearing up five million dollar bills every day for eight months.
The Ospraie Management hedge fund manager played in a risky part of the forest - commodities and energy. It was the same volatile asset class that did for Brian Hunter, of Amaranth Advisors, who lost $6.4 billion in 2006 after being wrongfooted by natural gas futures.
Unlike Mr Hunter, Mr Anderson hadn't been delivering the spectacular returns that might have hinted he was taking riskier bets than was wise. The flagship Ospraie fund was producing a very decent but hardly outstanding 15 per cent a year.
We don't know precisely what burnt Ospraie's feathers and sent it into a tailspin, but it seems probable that it was badly positioned for the extraordinary reverse in energy and commodities since early July.
Fund of hedge funds managers are predicting more casualties because of the violence of the swings in prices and sentiment. It seems that many hedge funds aren't really “hedged” in any meaningful way at all. They are merely geared momentum investors. They are taking naked bets that a price trend will continue and for a time they are, usually, proved right.
Yet the boom in commodity prices has unwound dramatically in the past nine weeks. Natural gas is down 40 per cent, silver and corn are down 20 per cent. Soya beans, aluminium and copper are all down more than 10 per cent. Apart from pork bellies and sugar, there's barely a raw material that hasn't gone south.
That welcome trend will not feed through into manufactured goods prices for some time. Food price inflation is still uncomfortably high and getting higher. And British clothing retailers, preparing to press the button on their purchases of spring/summer ranges, are girding their loins for steep price increases, not least because of the drooping pound.
For some hedge funds, however, the damage is going to be irreparable. Hedge funds rarely survive a loss of more than 20 per cent. The clients are unforgiving and rush to redeem as fast as the lock-in arrangements allow.
Individual hedge fund managers are more resilient, however.
Mr Hunter is back in business. His Peak Ridge Capital Commodities Volatility fund has reportedly made a 230 per cent return so far this year by anticipating the energy downturn.
Even if Ospraie, which has $4 billion in other funds, is irreparably winged, how long before Sea Eagle Capital takes flight?
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Get ready for the winter sports season, with our resort guides and snow reports
We are backing British business, what is the confidence of the nation and what businesses are succeeding?
Growing demand for energy, oil that is harder to reach and the rise of carbon dioxide emissions. We examine the energy challenge
With rail travel in Europe on the rise, we review the benefits of travelling by train
In this special section we explore new food trends to help improve your dinner party and impress guests
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
1998
£47,955
12 months for the price of 11 and a 5% discount.
Offer ends 31/11/09
Check your free Experian credit report before applying
Car Insurance
£353 per day
Phonepay Plus
London
£12,000 plus expenses
Ministry of Justice
London
£85k
CPA
Highly Competitve
Specsavers
Whiteley, near Southampton
Moments from Battersea Park.
For sale with Winkworth
Find out about shared ownership.
See your free Experian credit report beforehand
7nts - Penang £499; Borneo £699; All Inclusive £799 including flights, taxes, accommodation and private transfers
For your ultimate tailor-made ski holiday, click here
Get covered on your travels with a superb range of policies at great prices. Visit InsureandGo.com
World Class Golf, Spa and preferential Beach Club. Private estate overlooking West Coast
Villas from £275 per night inclusive of Golf
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.