Patrick Hosking
Attend an evening with Andre Agassi
It’s not just shareholders of banks and housebuilders who have been panicking in the past few days. The surprise decision from the Financial Services Authority to force short-sellers during rights issues to unmask themselves suggests that the regulators have been spooked too.
It is unprecedented for Canary Wharf to do anything without prolonged consultation. Yet the new rules are being imposed in seven days and the City just has to lump it.
The suspicion is that if the companies being targeted by short-sellers had been metal-bashers or oil explorers, the FSA wouldn’t have worried much. But the victims are banks, and banks — built on confidence alone — are different.
The FSA’s worst nightmare seems to be that a bank rights issue flops and that the ensuing share price slump triggers a panic not just in the share market, but among depositors. Those Northern Rock queues are fresh in the memory.
The FSA is right to want to nail the rogues who place down bets on companies and then disseminate damaging false rumours to ensure those bets come good. But yesterday’s threatened crackdown is not about that. The FSA argument now is that short-sellers are guilty of market abuse even when silent. Just by virtue of driving a price below the intrinsic worth of the company in a vulnerable moment like a rights issue, they are guilty of manipulation.
This looks a highly contentious philosophy. If prices really are being driven artificially low, then other investors — hedgies and traditional institutions alike — would surely pile in, in pursuit of easy profits. No one is forcing the underwriters to sell at a discount.
So what if the HBOS rights issue were to flop? It is fully underwritten. The bank would still get its money. If, as regulators insist, HBOS is rock solid, the share price would quickly recover. The underwriters, so long as they stood firm, would clean up.
The FSA move on better disclosure is modest. But its threat to restrict stock lending in rights issue periods and to prevent short-sellers from hedging themselves by buying nil-paid rights is altogether more draconian. It was enough to get the bears, their fingers burnt, to close their positions abruptly yesterday.
If implemented, these tougher measures would at a stroke eliminate short-selling in rights issues — but probably increase the cost of capital-raising. Underwriters would demand sweeter terms if they were in effect denied access to the emergency exit that shorting, in extremis, gives them.
Regulators need to be careful that in their attempts to foster financial stability they do not demonise short-sellers, who make a positive contribution to financial markets, nor that they give moral support to banks that have been lamentably slow and opaque in keeping their shareholders properly informed.
Shares at the very nadir of the bear raid on HBOS in March fell only to 398p. They are now trading much lower since the bank revealed it needed a £4 billion equity top-up. Who was guilty of market manipulation back then — the supposed shadowy gang of Singaporean short-sellers, or the Bank of England, which rushed to tell journalists that HBOS was not in any kind of difficulty?
Conspiracy theorists believe some banks have no choice but to dribble out the bad news slowly because in truth they are bust. By holding back the whole picture they can sucker investors into throwing good money after bad. This round of rights issues, they argue, will be followed by another in six or 12 months.
That is surely too pessimistic. However, the FSA’s heavy-handed approach — far from restoring confidence — risks inflaming suspicions that, perhaps for a greater good, investors aren’t hearing quite the whole truth.
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Get ready for the winter sports season, with our resort guides and snow reports
We are backing British business, what is the confidence of the nation and what businesses are succeeding?
Growing demand for energy, oil that is harder to reach and the rise of carbon dioxide emissions. We examine the energy challenge
With rail travel in Europe on the rise, we review the benefits of travelling by train
In this special section we explore new food trends to help improve your dinner party and impress guests
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
1998
£47,955
12 months for the price of 11 and a 5% discount.
Offer ends 31/11/09
Check your free Experian credit report before applying
Car Insurance
£353 per day
Phonepay Plus
London
£12,000 plus expenses
Ministry of Justice
London
£85k
CPA
Highly Competitve
Specsavers
Whiteley, near Southampton
Moments from Battersea Park.
For sale with Winkworth
Find out about shared ownership.
See your free Experian credit report beforehand
7nts - Penang £499; Borneo £699; All Inclusive £799 including flights, taxes, accommodation and private transfers
For your ultimate tailor-made ski holiday, click here
Get covered on your travels with a superb range of policies at great prices. Visit InsureandGo.com
World Class Golf, Spa and preferential Beach Club. Private estate overlooking West Coast
Villas from £275 per night inclusive of Golf
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.