David Wighton, Business Editor's Commentary
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The US dollar is “our currency, but your problem” was the famous putdown of John Connally, President Nixon's Treasury Secretary in the early Seventies, as he rudely rebuffed European appeals over the dollar's value.
Washington has been more diplomatic during the dollar's recent fall, but its basic attitude to Europe's growing discomfort at the eurozone's declining competitiveness has been little different.
While Hank Paulson, the present Treasury Secretary, has continued to mouth the standard mantras of a strong dollar policy, Washington has pursued an unspoken strategy of benign neglect. The US stance has been entirely understandable. The dollar needed to fall if the huge global imbalances, driven by America's vast current account deficit, were to be unwound.
More immediately, the boost to American exports from a cheaper currency has been a welcome prop to growth as the US economy has stalled.
Yet this stance was abruptly junked yesterday by Ben Bernanke, the Federal Reserve Chairman. The apparent watershed in US policy was all the more striking in that it came from the Fed chief, and not Mr Paulson, a distinction that was not lost on the markets.
Mr Bernanke's intervention looks well judged for several reasons.
First, there is a lingering risk that the dollar's slide runs out of control and turns into a rout. Were that to happen, the consquences would be disastrous not just for America, but for the world, triggering an inevitable crash in bond markets.
The dangers of such a grave outcome are heightened by the threat of inflation, which provides the second strong rationale for yesterday's shift. While a weaker dollar has helped to underpin growth via exports, now it is hampering both the Fed's efforts to quell inflation and to sustain economic activity.
America's inflation is stoked as the falling dollar drives up its import bills, further imperilling fragile confidence in the currency.
Rising market anxieties over inflation also threaten to drive up the bond yields that determine actual interest rates for businesses and households, reinforcing the credit crunch and undercutting the Fed's loosening of official rates.
Finally, the dollar's losses are adding to the toll both in the United States and globally from soaring oil prices, fuelling the upward pressure on the cost of crude on world markets. For the Fed, this means not only yet more energy inflation but also, at the same time, a further drag on growth as the costs hit American consumers in the pocket.
This time, the dollar's decline has become America's problem, too. Mr Bernanke has made the right move, not only for the United States but for its friends in Europe.
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The only thing the FED is interested in is bailing out it's friends on Wall Street, the investment banks.
These comments from the FED are just to pacify the world
into believing that they care about the currency, because once people lose faith in a currency, all hell will break out.
SRB, Abergele, UK
Expressing concerns and intentions is one thing; realities and factual constraints are another...
Peter Vernunft, Berlin, Germany
This is the same Bernanke who had the brillant TAF - change BBB- rubbish for cash - idea? See here for how well that is working: research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/BORROW
Asian message to Ben; see today's Asia Times lead.
Message to the de-coupling skeptics - it's happened!
dhome, sydney, australia
It is truly jaw dropping that no one asks how a country (the US) with a massive trade deficit with the rest of the world, whose currency has fallen 50% against the euro, is supposed to have a lower inflation rate than in the eurozone. It must be an open secret that the dollar is toast, surely?
David Hindle, freiburg, Germany
Just as Paul from Coventry says, the long term disaster of the dollar loosing it's status as a reserve currency is deeply worrying. It will effect everyone. The signs are all there, with some opposition to accepting the greenback abroad. God help us if BUSH is in office in this next crisis
David Nammory, Liverpool,
Perhaps the Fed has realised the long-term danger to the US economy of the greenback losing its status as global reserve currency?
Paul, Coventry,
Words are a start; we now need action. No one is going to value the dollar if the Fed sticks to a 2% interest rate & no one is going to take the pain for US or UK consumers. They have to take the pain themselves as the economies move to a more balanced level of production & consumption.
Stephen Marchant, Broadhempston, UK
The FED get tough on inflation?
hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha
oh stop! no I can't take it!
hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha
Its the way you tell 'em!
Mike, Tauranga, New Zealand
fine,the americans see the danger of a weak dollar but unless their prepared to take tough decisions-which their not-its all hot air
m marriott, torquay, uk
I'll bet that the USA has been told by the Middle East countries that they will depeg unless something is done about the Dollar due to spiralling inflation. It will not last long. The US will soon be forced to cut the Dollar as the second round of mortgage readjustments happen in Q1 2009.
Maritn Grelton, London, UK
The question is whether a few words from Mr. Benanke have any effect beyond a day or two. The U.S. dollar has fallen because the country is out of control financially. A salve from Gentle Ben is not the kind of medicine that's needed.
Tony, Chicago, USA
Bernanke said : Bla, Bla, Bla and he really meant it .Bernanke is a Greenspan's clone.He will not support the Dollar. He wants the Dollar to fall .
Sara Scherrer, Zurich, Switzerland
With USA printing and pumping more and more useless $ in the world, it is not only causing local inflation, but its a prime mover for gobal inflation. The gobal equivalent of the ZIM $. Soon to worth ZIP.
des, Perth, Australia
In U.S. government speak: zero inflation is a 3% rise in prices, a balanced budget has a $200,000,000,000 deficit, being unemployeed for two years means you no longer exist and being in the U.S. illegally means you will never be unemploiyed even though you lost your job.
Ray, Chicago, USA
Actions speak louder than words - or at least they should.
Interest rates in the US are still negative by 2% - and that is using the US governments own inflation statistics. The real figure is probably more like -5%. To get real interest rates back to netrual 7% is needed. It won't happen.
Matt, Sydney, Australia