David Wighton: Business Editor's commentary
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Bradford & Bingley is such a disaster in so many ways it is hard to know where to start. Perhaps one should begin by offering sympathy to Steven Crawshaw, who discovered that he was suffering from a serious illness last Wednesday.
That said, there is no doubt that he would have been forced to step down as chief executive anyway amid mounting evidence of management's incompetence.
The charge sheet was already long: B&B's dependence on the buy-to-let market and self-certified loans; millions squandered by the bank's treasury department on asset-backed securities; and then Mr Crawshaw's denial that B&B was contemplating a rights issue, followed swiftly by the announcement of a ... er, rights issue. Yesterday, a new offence was added to the list when it emerged that Mr Crawshaw had been running Britain's tenth-biggest bank with a reporting system that would shame a corner shop.
It would be an extraordinary achievement for Rod Kent, the new executive chairman, to take such an unpromising situation and make it worse. But that, on the face of it, is just what he has done.
Mr Kent says that the board decided to scrap the original rights issue because it would be better for B&B's one million private shareholders. If B&B had gone ahead on the original terms, private shareholders would have got nothing for their nil-paid rights, because they would be worthless. Under the new terms, he argues, at least they would get some cash for giving up the right to subscribe to new shares.
This is utter nonsense. The new terms imply a big loss of value to shareholders. They will lose £59 million because the underwriters are not being forced to buy shares at 82p. They will also be diluted by the 23 per cent stake being sold to TPG.
So why did B&B really scrap the rights issue? Citigroup and UBS, which underwrote the original issue, could have invoked the clause in their agreement that would allow them to pull out because of a material adverse change.
But it seems highly unlikely that the banks would have attempted such drastic action. It would have further damaged their reputations, already badly dented by the shoddy due diligence they performed on their client.
Perhaps more important, the FSA and the Bank of England would have taken a very dim view of them leaving one of Britain's biggest banks dangling in the wind.
Some people close to B&B mutter that had it allowed the original issue to “flop”, the share price would have slumped because the market would have known the banks would been forced sellers.
But why would this matter? There is no reason to believe it would create a panic among depositors. After all, they know that the Government would stand behind B&B as it did Northern Rock.
Presumably, if the share price fell far enough, there would be buying from investors such as TPG, which clearly thinks the shares are a steal at 55p, or half book value.
It looks very much as if the company just did not have the nerve to go ahead with the original plan, perhaps encouraged by the authorities' concerns about the impact a rights issue flop would have on the rest of the sector.
As so often, the biggest losers will be private investors, since many of the institutions will benefit from being let off their sub-underwriting commitments. At the very least, B&B owes them a more convincing explanation.
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If only B&B had been run by Arkwright and Granville!
Paul, Coventry,
What were the 2,500 staff at the Financial servises authority doing whilst this financial institution was heading for disaster? Precisely the same as when Northern Wreck was breaking the rules of sound banking practice. Nothing. The Accountants? Just goofing off on the job?
W D Toulman, WALKINGTON, UK
BORING!!!! Been there, seen it, done it, bought the teeshirt. Memories are so short. 5 years from now you can be sure we will be in the middle of another property boom and 10 years from now lamenting about how come no one saw the property crash of 2018 coming.
Charles, Croydon,
The US never got into 125%+ mortgages and 10 times incomes and look at the mess.
There is a pause every time we mention about the UK's 125%+ mortgage party here in North America - the jaw drops and they just stare in disbelief!
Paul, London, Canada
And another thing - buy to let is dead. In a declining market, with rents not covering mortgages, distressed landlords are walking away from negative equity. & grim buisness plan Those longer established landlords have the drop in CGT to 18% to entice them to sell up creating more downward pressure
David Nammory, Liverpool,
I'm only glad I got my B&B shares for free. Should have seen the writing on the wall 2 AGMs ago when they made a charge in the accounts for miss-selling compo after they were late in the market (didn't learn from others mistakes) + small player. Watch Crenshaw miraculusly recover on another borad.
MIB, Warcs, UK
The GMAC loans represent worse arrears than originating from B & B. It is claimed that underwriting standards were the same. Mr Kent has said the minimum amount of loans will be purchased under the contract with GMAC. The higher arrrears indicates lower standards and the contract should be revoked
Terry Pugh, Baildon, UK
Another reason why the financial services industry needs more regulation and more proof, if any is needed, to add to the argument that boardroom pay schemes in the city far exceed the ability and talent of the managers who cash in but don't take any financial risks themselves
peter fieldman, paris , france
Adam,
How long is "long term". Japan has had falling property prices for nearly 20 years now. If you bought real estate in Tokyo at the height of the property bubble at the end of the '80s, you'd be holding a property that would now be worth about 40% of the amount you paid for it.
Eric, Tokyo,
cww, Ipswich- Of course! Longer the party, greater the hangover. Think 20:20. Minimum 20% drop in prices and a 20% adjustment in £ exchange rates.
Kara Swart, London, UK
Back in the days of Norman Lamont everyone thought short term and couldn't look beyond their own myopic glasses. People need to think long term like some of the tiger economies in the far east. Investment in property will always bring yields over the long term, very good yields. Have faith in B&B
Adam, Shipley, UK
Is this the beginning of the UK's own credit crunch? And as the UK's rate's currently more than double the US's will the property price corrrection here be even more spectacular?
cww, Ipswich,