Siobhan Kennedy: Business commentary
Download your 2 for 1 Pizza Express voucher
Investment banks are desperate to conserve every penny and the battle over Clear Channel shows how far they are ready to go to avoid shelling out.
The $20 billion (£10 billion) deal to acquire the American radio and billboard advertising giant was signed in May last year, at the pinnacle of the M&A bull market. The banks drooled over the two private equity bidders, Bain Capital and Thomas H Lee Partners, and aggressively competed for a piece of what was one of the year’s hottest buyouts.
When the consortium’s first offer of $37.60 a share fell short, it was the banks who persuaded the bidders to come back with more and funded the majority of the raised $39 bid. To miss out on the chance to finance such a leveraged gem was a sackable offence and in the end the bidding consortium managed to secure 87 per cent of the purchase price in cheap debt financing. The consortium’s equity contribution, in line with the vogue back then, was minuscule.
Fast foward to December and the banks are starting to get cold feet. They warn Bain and Tommy Lee that they are now sitting on $1.5 billion of potential writedowns. By January that figure has ballooned to $2.7 billion. But apart from a few small tweaks, the private equity firms flatly refuse to change the debt terms. And with written commitments and importantly, no material adverse change clause (MAC) that might allow the banks to wriggle free, they sit back, comfortable in the knowledge that there is little the banks can do.
In February the banks come up with a new wheeze – seizing on complex restrictions on certain lines of revolving credit that make it impossible for Bain and Tommy Lee to repay Clear Channel’s existing roughly $4 billion debt pile that comes due in 2011. Without the ability to use the cash in the short-term, “the debt deal would blow up” as one source close to the talks said yesterday. The banks hadn’t refused to finance the deal per se, but their actions meant it was effectively dead.
On the face of it, there is an argument that says it is absolutely in private equity’s interests to shut this deal down. Clear Channel’s share price has tumbled since the deal was announced and the US is teetering on the brink of a recession which can’t be good for a business reliant upon advertising. The lawsuits are surely just a way of making the banks cough up their fair share of the $600 million break fee. Yet one look at the maths and the banks’ argument does not appear to hold water.
Bain and Tommy Lee stood to pay only 13 per cent of the total deal price in cash. The small sliver of equity relative to the mountain of debt means that only a tiny improvement in Clear Channel’s business would produce huge returns while the risk of the equity being wiped out, if market conditions deteriorate further, is minimal. It is also hard to believe they would have agreed to a financing package that restricted their ability to pay off short-term debt.
The severity of yesterday’s lawsuits is also key. It’s not just private equity suing, but Clear Channel itself. And they’re not just suing for breach of contract, they’re claiming “tortious interference” and fraud to boot. Put simply, they’re going after the banks with everything they can muster.
The worry is that the financiers, led by Citigroup and Deutsche Bank, will try to do the same on other uncompleted deals. The obvious target is BCE, the massive $34.1 billion Canadian telecoms deal that was signed, like Clear Channel, at the height of the boom.
So far, executives have said the deal is on track but one look at the debt providers – Citigroup and Deutsche Bank – and it is easy to see why investors are becoming nervous.
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Get ready for the winter sports season, with our resort guides and snow reports
We are backing British business, what is the confidence of the nation and what businesses are succeeding?
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
2006/06
£POA
Surrey
2009
£114,950
Derbyshire
The best policy at the
best price
Be Wiser Insurance
£POA
Surrey
Highly competitive six figure
Nationwide
Swindon
Competitive benefits package
Chartered Institute of Builders
Ascot
Competitive salary + benefits
NHS Direct
London
£125K
Meltwater News
Nationwide Positions
With Part Exchange Crest Nicholson could get you moving.
Award-winning riverside development, SW11.
Luxury apartments for sale from £350,000.
Find out more about our luxurious apartments and houses for sale in the heart of Sussex.
for sale in the French Alps
from E189,000.
We're offering extra savings on Voyager & Adventure of the seas Mediterranean Cruises fr £549.
Book by 28 Feb!
Includes 3* accommodation throughout, a 15 minute Apollo night helicopter flight down the Las Vegas strip and United Airlines flights from Heathrow.
Same break by air costs £189. Valid for weekend travel until 31 Aug 10.
Get covered on your travels with a superb range of policies at great prices
Visit InsureandGo.com
Family friendly villas with Quality Villas. Book with the specialists.
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Milkround
Copyright 2010 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.