Anatole Kaletsky: Analysis
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Unbelievable. It is the only word to describe Alistair Darling’s announcement on Northern Rock yesterday. Anyone who thinks this decision will put an end to the Government’s dithering embarrassment in the Northern Rock saga, must live in the Looking Glass world of Gordon Brown, who seems to make a point these days of believing six impossible things before breakfast.
Of course, nationalisation was the right decision - and indeed was the only credible option from the very start of this disaster. But that doesn’t mean that yesterday’s announcement was right.
Far from it. The devil is in the detail of financial announcements, as Mr Darling should surely have learnt from his humiliating U-turns over capital gains tax and nondoms. And every detail of yesterday’s announcement was exactly, unbelievably, wrong.
While it was clear to almost everyone apart from the denizens of Downing Street that state ownership would be the only sensible and morally justifiable way to deal with Northern Rock once it was forced to turn to the Treasury for state funding, nationalisation was bound to be only the beginning, not the end, of the tough decisions incumbent on the Government.
The purpose of nationalisation should not have been - and in the end will not be - what the Chancellor and the Rock’s new chairman, Ron Sandler, promised yesterday: to continue “business as usual” at the bank and eventually to return it to the private sector, maybe even securing a nice profit for taxpayers in the process. The purpose of nationalisation should have been - and in the end will be - to recoup £100 billion of taxpayers’ money as quickly as possible and to stop any further damage to Britain’s financial system by closing down the entire Northern Rock business and sacking most of its staff.
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Can Gordon Brown orchestrate a boost to the housing market now, perhaps by letting the Northern Rock relax it's lending criteria - even further - the mind boggles.
Of course it would all be in aid of adding value to the business for the tax payers benefit. Nothing to do with winning the next election.
Northern Rock already offer a 95% Loan to valuation mortgage plus another £30k unsecured which can equal upto 125% of property value.
If the housing market does fall in value (it is in the USA and they're average values are at 6 times average earnings not 9 times as in the UK) how safe will the tax payers money be.
It took about 8 years from the first falls in 1990 for some people to get back out of negative equity. Given the above figures being lent it could take alot longer to recover this time.
David, Marlow, UK
Northern Rock should have never been allowed to get into this embarrassing situation in the first place. Gordon Brown fiddled with the banking rules years ago, if he had left well alone Northern Rock's unviable banking model would have been spotted earlier and clamped down on, preventing this whole mess.
Yet more skeleton's come out of Gordon Brown's "miracle economy", the next will be the realisation that the loan book is no where near as strong as Labour would have us believe.
Surely the Conservatives only have to turn up at the next general election.
Jim, London, UK
The Money should have never been lent to the bank in the first place. Any other business would of had to stop trading due to bad management.
James Green, London, UK