Antonia Senior, Business commentary
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Alan Yau, the restaurateur, may be forgiven for thinking that reports of a slowdown have been greatly exaggerated. Abu Dhabi’s Tasameem group has bought his London restaurants, Hakkasan and Yauatcha, for $60 million (£30.6 million).
The Middle Eastern fund is either taking an audacious bet on an early recovery or, more likely, recognising that this economic gloom is peculiarly polarising. Very painful to those who can’t afford it; utterly irrelevant to those who can afford Yauatcha’s dim sum. The signs of this polarisation are everywhere. Tasameem plans to roll out Hakkasan and Yauatcha worldwide to those whose food must be exquisite and served by beautiful people wearing black. Shares in The Restaurant Group plunged 30 per cent yesterday as its food chains are shunned by those whose credit cards can no longer stretch to being served burgers by pustulent teenagers.
On the high street, retailers face a torrid 12 months, but there is still a market for a Hermès handbag priced at £28,000. House prices are stalling - unless you live in the Central London enclaves or rural idylls favoured by the recession-proof super-rich. The southwest corner of Central London saw prices rise by 1.8 per cent over the past quarter, according to Knight Frank, the estate agent. Meanwhile, Savills said that on the last Friday before Christmas it sold country estates worth £66 million.
Against this backdrop, the Bank of England’s decision on whether to cut interest rates is by no means clear cut – The Times’s shadow Monetary Policy Committee voted 5-4 in favour of holding rates. It must be tempting for Mervyn King, the Bank Governor, and his fellow rate-setters to take account of the yawning gap between the super-rich and the rest of us. If the economy weakens further, anyone with a mortgage, with debt, with a potentially precarious job will be struggling. But Yauatcha will continue to be full to bursting every night and the beautiful waiters will continue to eject diners ordering pudding beyond their two hours’ allotted time.
But combining social engineering with monetary policy setting is dangerous. If excessively savage rate cuts allow inflation to creep further upwards, those who suffer will again be those with mortgages.
Mr King must leave the social engineering to the fiscal policy setters. Gordon Brown must be growing increasingly uncomfortable about Britain’s widening wealth gap. The question is whether he has the means to do anything about it. The Treasury coffers are empty and the silence on the issue is loud. But if you listen hard enough, can you hear the phrase: “Let them eat dim sum!”?
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It is true that mortgages are not linked to RPI, but increases in RPI means higher living costs and therefore anyone on the margins could face difficulty in meeting monthly commitments including mortgage payments. Lowering interest rates applies upward pressure to inflation, but lower BoE rates don't necessarily transfer to lower mortgage payements, many of which are on fixed rates.
Mitesh Shah, London,
James, Sydney is spot on. Inflating house prices increase the owners' equity percentage - the bigger the mortgage to purchase price the bigger the benefit. Elementary.
David, Oxford,
Idyllic? I guess that's true if you include constant surveillance by neighborhood spies who turn in their neighbors for anything remotely resembling 'anti-socialist' behavior. As to free health care, after the recent sham movie from Michael Moore it was made very clear that the Cuban health care system that was so lionized by Mr Moore, does not extend to the poor who live in the rural sectors of the country, where only the barest clinics with minimal trained providers are available. But hey, if your idea of utopia is living on a beach in hurricane country with plenty of secret police to keep you company, go for it.
Terry, roxbury, usa
"If excessively savage rate cuts allow inflation to creep further upwards, those who suffer will again be those with mortgages."
This is a spectacularly inept column. Remind me again is the mortgage rate related to the Bank rate or to RPI?
Willis, Belfast,
"If excessively savage rate cuts allow inflation to creep further upwards, those who suffer will again be those with mortgages."
Please do some fact checking. This would be the perfect scenario for mortgage holders; not only will interest paid be lower but rising inflation erodes faster the real value of the mortgage.
James, Sydney,
Why single out Yautcha for special attention?
Firstly, it isn't that expensive. I have eaten there several times, am certainly not a millionaire and never will be. 25 pounds a head including tea, which, to be honest, is very reasonable for London.
Single out ridiculously overpriced restaurants like Nobu where the bill is 100 pounds a head but where the food is no better than your average kaiten-sushi restaurant in Tokyo or Osaka.
Nobu deserves your scorn. Not Yautcha.
Regards,
Dominic Cherry
Dominic, London, UK
Your newspaper complains about the pitfalls of capitalism but then attacks the Cuban system.
Castros government seems idyllic to me; free healthcare, free housing. full employment, no crime, environmentally sustainable living. So what if they don't have cars, imagine London with donkeys instead. So what if the rooves leak; all you need is a bucket. Besides its warm enough in Cuba to sleep on the beach. So what if they can't afford to make themselves obese, at least they're healthy.
Going crazy in the ratrace and living in fear of starvation crime, poverty and homelessness caused by repossession don't seem like a sane alternative.
Keith Bentham, Wigan, Lancashire