Jenny Davey
We've made some changes
to The Sunday Times
INVESTORS have taken the wrecking ball to housebuilding stocks in the past three months amid fears that the property boom is over.
Barratt has been at the sharp end of the sell-off.
Shares in the housebuilding giant have slumped by two-thirds since February, which last week led to its ejection from the prestigious FTSE 100 blue-chip index.
The situation is a far cry from April when Barratt boasted it would leapfrog Persimmon to become the No 1 builder after completing a £2.2 billion cash-and-shares takeover of its smaller listed rival Wilson Bowden.
Unfortunately, Barratt’s first corporate acquisition for 20 years looks ill-timed in retrospect – increasing the group’s debt pile to £1.7 billion just three months before the housing market in effect fell off a cliff.
Today Barratt’s market capitalisation is lower than its debts and, equally embarrassingly, it is similar to Wilson Bowden’s market value prior to the takeover.
The negative sentiment and fears that market conditions will worsen have triggered rumours that Barratt may bust its banking covenants.
The group is adamant that the rumours are false. The company has a £2.6 billion facility – giving it £900m of headroom. In the worst-case scenario it could simply run the business for cash – putting the brakes on new land acquisitions and slowing construction of new schemes.
Given that the company has a solid land bank, equivalent to five years’ supply, the share-price drop looks overdone on a two to three-year outlook.
But don’t dive in just yet – predators may be circling, but unless a bid comes quickly, Barratt’s exposure to apartments and city-centre developments will continue to put a short-term dampener on the share price.
GKN
LAST week GKN became the latest UK-listed engineering group to see its shares hammered by investors’ extreme nervousness over anything to do with America.
GKN has a substantial business supplying American carmakers and aerospace groups, and when it said last week that US car production was set to be “fractionally lower than expected”, the reaction was as if it had unveiled a full-scale profit warning.
The shares finished the week at 294½p, close to an 11-month low. GKN’s directors may feel a little bruised, but they can comfort themselves with the thought that they are not alone.
Enodis, the food-equipment manufacturer, Invensys, the rail and controls-systems maker, and FKI, the diversified engineering group, have all taken a battering over the past few months because of investors’ worries about America.
Although that nervousness is understandable, the reaction is probably overdone. This is simply because while all these companies have interests in the US, they also have operations in Asia, where business is still brisk.
Grant Ringshaw is away
Enjoy screenings of all the classic films you love, plus take advantage of two-for-one tickets
We explore leisure activities that are safe and suitable for all of the family
Times Online's new TV show helps you make the right decisions for your pet
See the best entries in this year's competition
Your brain is capable of more than you might think...
An interactive preview of the brand new For Your Eyes Only exhibition
The latest travel news plus the best hotels and gadgets for business travellers

Love Sudoku? Play our brand new interactive game: with added functionality and daily prizes

Are you irritable when you return from work? Drained of emotion? You could be suffering from boreout
Prepare for some shock and awe, petrol lovers. Despite the greens trying to wipe it out, the car is about to offer us the most exciting year ever
We've trawled the brochures and websites to find this summer’s best holidays for every taste and budget

Overseas contacts and local business information
2002/02
£59,995
The Midlands
2008/08
£169,950
Scotland
2007/57
£35,000
South East England
Great car insurance deals online
Competitive
CyDen
London
To £28k
Barclaycard
Various (outside London)
£
£40,000 - £50,000 + benefits
Lloyds Pharmacy
Coventry
To £38k
Barclaycard
Northampton/Liverpool
2 Bathrooms, Balcony and Garden
£359,950
Beautiful Gardens w/ stunning Thames Views
Apts From £249,950
Mortgages, bank acc & money transfers to help you buy abroad
Explore mystical Jordan
From £1030 for 7nts 4*
to USA's Most Cosmopolitan City; San Francisco!
£POA
Book Now for Winter 08/09 and Get 10% off!
Great travel insurance deals online
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times. Search globrix.com to buy or rent UK property.
© Copyright 2008 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.