Inside the city with Grant Ringshaw
2 for 1 tickets to Singin' In The Rain, this coming Monday. Book now
IS an acquisition frenzy about to engulf Britain’s independent oil and gas companies? Italian giant Eni’s £1.5 billion bid for Burren Energy certainly makes it more likely.
One argument is that Eni’s bid is asset-specific – the strategic fit is compelling because Eni is a fellow shareholder in the M’Boundi field in the Congo, one of Burren’s biggest assets. A more convincing view is that the bid is part of a dash for assets by oil giants and national oil companies.
The last wave of consolidation kicked off seven years ago and British Borneo, Enterprise Oil and Lasmo were hoovered up over two years. Doubters will argue that the industry was very different in 2000 – oil prices were recovering after collapsing to $10 a barrel. Today they are hitting new highs of more than $80 a barrel.
However, as Morgan Stanley’s analysts point out, there are key similarities. In 2000, many oil groups were more bullish about oil prices than equity investors. Today that’s also true. Just look at the hikes in capital spending and mutterings about deals involving big integrated groups for evidence of optimism.
The new element in the mix is the emergence of cash-rich national oil companies and Middle East groups desperate to snap up assets. It is a potent cocktail that makes a deal frenzy look almost certain.
There have been mid-sized and smaller deals in the past 12 months – Tullow’s takeover of Hardman Resources, two smaller acquisitions by Cairn and Dana Petroleum buying Devon Energy’s Egyptian assets. Now the focus is shifting to taking out the larger independents.
Burren has so far rejected Eni’s bid, but its future as an independent will probably be over if a counter-bidder or higher offer emerges. Other companies must be on bid alert, including Premier Oil, which received a takeover approach almost a year ago. The pick of the bunch are probably Dana, Soco and Tullow. The bidding battles will be fierce, and it is time to buy in.
Air Partner
TWO YEARS AGO this column congratulated itself on having tipped Air Partner, the aircraft broker, noting that the shares had broken through 500p, and telling readers to hang on in there. Last week, that confidence was repaid in spades.
The company reported ripping results (including a total dividend payment of 80p a share). The shares, which have risen inexorably in the intervening period, perked up again, closing the week at £12.85.
Some might now be tempted to take profits, arguing that we are at the top of the cycle, and that the demand for private jets from tycoons and football stars can only go in one direction – down.
This misses the point that Air Partner is not reliant on high-rollers. A third of its business comes from governments, two-thirds from companies, and it is geographically diversified, covering 15 countries. The strength of the results also indicates there is more to come – again the advice is hang on in there.
Enjoy screenings of all the classic films you love, plus take advantage of two-for-one tickets
Have you ever dreamed of owning your own racehorse or a beautiful painting?
Enjoy comfort, safety, space and great design. Plus enter our great competition
Times Online's new TV show helps you make the right decisions for your pet
Are you California dreaming? Explore the wonders of the Golden State. Also enter our fantastic competition
Do you have what it takes to be a Times photographer?
Your brain is capable of more than you might think...
Find out to make the most of your money with our wealth management guides
Need help with your property? We have an entire how to guide - buying, selling, letting, moving, to help you
We are seeking entries for the inaugural Sunday Times Best Green Companies Awards
Enjoy some wonderful inspiring wildlife moments
An interactive preview of the brand new For Your Eyes Only exhibition

Love Sudoku? Play our brand new interactive game: with added functionality and daily prizes

Are you irritable when you return from work? Drained of emotion? You could be suffering from boreout
Prepare for some shock and awe, petrol lovers. Despite the greens trying to wipe it out, the car is about to offer us the most exciting year ever
We've trawled the brochures and websites to find this summer’s best holidays for every taste and budget

Overseas contacts and local business information
2007/07
£57,500
South East England
2007/07
£40,995
South East England
2006/06
£41,995
South East England
Great car insurance deals online
£40-55k+benefits+uncapped commission
Morgan Keating
South East
Up to £30,000
GLE
London
£
c£75,000 + executive benefits
Morgan Keating
London and South
Unpaid with travel expenses
Network Rail
Globrix, the property search engine
Visit Times Online Property for homes for sale or rent
Residential development site with planning permission
£1,500,000
Mortgages, bank accounts & money transfers to help you buy abroad
Dinarobin Hotel Golf & Spa 7 nights
From £1830 per person – saving £530.
Walking & multi-activity holidays in Cauterets. Stylish self-catering apartments.
From 350€ for 7 nights.
SAVE 25% on Sandals Luxury Resorts
Great travel insurance deals online
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times. Search globrix.com to buy or rent UK property.
© Copyright 2008 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.