Gerard Baker: American view
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The Chinese are coming! The Chinese are coming! Lock up your pets, hold on to your pay packet and line up a few clever investment ideas while you’re about it.
America is in the grip of a rising case of Sino-fever, a slightly dangerous condition that can lead to raised expectations and delusions of great wealth and opportunity, but with nasty side-effects for some, including hyperventilation about diminished prosperity, loss of self-esteem and a troubling, shrinking feeling.
Everywhere you look in the United States these days, China is on the rise. At the weekend Blackstone Group, the world’s largest (soon-to-be-public) private equity firm announced that it had sold almost 10 per cent of itself to the People’s Republic. Though the Chinese stake will have no voting rights, you still have to admire Blackstone’s political chutzpah. It and other private equity companies have already been the subject of aggressive scrutiny from congressmen in Washington over the claim that they are asset-stripping, job-destroying capitalist locusts. Now they have decided to get into bed with that other favourite target of American politicians – China. If you thought it was bad when some faceless capitalist was taking over your company and closing down your factory, imagine what it will be like when it’s some faceless Chinese communist helping him to do it.
The Blackstone news came on the same day that The Washington Post reported that Food and Drug Administration inspectors had impounded piles of food imports from China in the past month because they failed to meet health and safety requirements. The yucky goods included apples coated with cancer-causing chemicals, sardines smothered in putrefying bacteria and mushrooms laced with illegal pesticides. All that plus, of course, the now-famous Chinese pet foods that are causing illness and even death among America’s dogs. The juxtaposition of the two events – China’s venture capitalists bounding on to Wall Street and its dodgy products poisoning pooches on Main Street – underscores the deepening complexity and challenges of the US-China relationship.
It comes at an apposite moment. This week here in Washington we will be witnessing part two of the US-China Strategic Economic Dialogue, when a massive team of Chinese bureaucrats will descend on the US capital in the latest phase of the programme initiated last year by Hank Paulson, the US Treasury Secretary, to improve economic understanding and relations between the two countries. The Chinese delegation will be led by Madam Wu Yi, the Vice-Premier for International Finance. Mr Paulson, an old China hand from his Goldman Sachs days, will throw a couple of lavish banquets for the visitors. Yet between the vast dinners and the innumerable toasts, there will be some hard talking to be done.
American lawmakers are increasingly antsy about Chinese imports – not just the pet-killers but the job-killers, the ones that undercut US domestic prices and turn US factories into museums of 20th-century capitalism.
Mr Paulson has been successful, so far, in holding back rising American anger at what are seen as unfair Chinese trading practices, most notably the artificially undervalued currency. But he can’t keep the anger at bay for ever. Congress now has before it a Bill, sponsored by the congressmen Tim Ryan and Duncan Hunter, that would slap tariffs on Chinese goods if the country does not revalue the yuan. Last week, before announcing the Blackstone deal, the Chinese authorities moved a little, widening the bands within which the pegged yuan is allowed to move against the dollar.
The move will not satisfy anyone here, so it falls to Mr Paulson to keep juggling the various elements of his China strategy – pressure Beijing to do more, both by occasional sorties into WTO confrontations and by pushing for a currency revaluation; explain the benefits to American consumers and companies of the broader US-China economic relationship; and seek a really big breakthrough by getting Beijing to liberalise its capital markets, so that US companies can tap the vast potential of the domestic Chinese economy. It’s a delicate challenge. American assertiveness on the various bilateral trade disputes in the past few months have already provoked an angry reaction in China. There was even very public talk that Madam Wu might skip the meeting this week. At the same time, an election is going on in the US and populist politicians are leveraging domestic concerns about China into powerful campaign issues.
Mr Paulson should take a lesson from the Blackstone playbook and be bold and risky. He should forget the currency issue. It is a red herring (not a poisoned Chinese one, we hope). There would be few gains for the US even if China did revalue its currency. Instead, the Treasury Secretary should focus on the much bigger goal of bringing China more fully into global markets. He should explain both to US politicians and his Beijing friends how free markets benefit everyone and push China to open up its financial markets to the world.
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you cannot blame the Chinese for eating their pets. If they haven't got enough to eat, then the dog must go, they have no choice. Killing a dog is not animal abuse, it depends on how it dies. If it dies a quick death, then no problem. People in the west eat too much, so it impossible for us to imagine what it is like to starve.
phil stilliard, TWICKENHAM,
China has HUGE amounts of abuse towards animals....sadly the writer is correct...the chinese DO kill and eat even their OWN pets
ruby cooper, nice, france
Americas impotence in the face of Chinese dominance of America's extensive markets is compounded by America's inability or unwillingness to speak against Chinese violations of human rights. Time was when America championed democracy, human rights and accountability from those states with whom it interacted in trade, commerce and diplomacy. Today, America's lofty standing of past years is overshadowed by the intensely aggressive Chinese economic pursuits. All along we are witnessing Lenin's clever observation of capitalism and its guardians. He said, "the capitalists will sell us the ropes with which we will hang them." The Republicans, from Nixons presidency to the current administration, under the rubric of free market, have facilitated the selling of the rope. Wheeling and dealing through the mechanisms of advocacy, public relations, and outright greed for lucrative contacts have clouded American vision and emasculated Americas courage for global democracy and freedom
Tseggai Isaac, Rolla, Missouri, USA
My theory is that the adulterated food is just the Chinese way of toughening us up. I especially liked the bit about Soy sauce made from fermented human hair. Yum.
In any case, importing food from a country that has a history of killing its own people by the million, and not doing comprehensive testing on it is just idiotic. Apparently, importing food from Canada and Mexico has made us complacent.
But that's OK, we'll send them back Batman movies and rot their brains. That'll larn them..
jon livesey, Sunnyvale, CA/US
He wasn't calling the Chinese pet-killers, but rather the Chinese imports of tainted pet food. Re-read the paragraph in question.
Andy, Atlanta, GA/USA
Is that anything like the free market in opium in the 19th century? Or perhaps the US could just form up a couple of divisions of Boxers to combat Chinese incursions into the US markets?
KR, Stockport,
To call the Chinese "pet-killers" makes me seriously doubtful not only of your reporting integrity, but also of your ability to succeed in interacting with a people who will play the greatest role in shaping the world economy in the 21st century. So you want China to open up its financial markets? Maybe if the world community meets the Chinese people with respect instead of slander then they might be more inclined to do so.
I'm sorry to say this, but it is the kind of ignorance that I see in your thinking that is holding us all back.
Nicholas Richmond, Yarmouth, Maine, USA
Wishful thinking Gerald!
You're forgetting one crucial element: as much as the Chinese Government loves the money that can be made from free markets, they still love control more.
The ideal scenario for Beijing isn't about free markets - they are seeking the perfect balance of control and profit.
What Paulson should be doing is playing them at their own game - start buying up the few key Chinese companies that aren't State protected.
Angus, Beijing,
I am afraid , China is playing the Capitalistic role better than any true blue Capitalist Country in the World. In the old times they accused the USSR- with o without reason- of being a Socialimperialism. Nowadays; when only two tigers roam on the plains and playing the same game , one of them ;China, is provoking in USA such a havoc that could unchain the mother of all social revolutions ever, that one only dreamt by the founders of Socialism . That is ; the people of America will feel the pinch and urge of any revolution: the continuos decline in their standars of life and the no hope in the future. Ironic? Who knows.
LN Otoya
Sydney-Australia
Leoncio Otoya, Dundas Valley, Australia
What kind of statement is that!? "Lock up your pets..."??? What ignorance! Only a small percentage of Chinese take 'pets' for food. And those Chinese who take 'pets' as food do not go around the streets looking for strays -- they get them from special farms.
Kong Kek Kuat, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia