Download 'Too Hot', an exclusive Specials track from iTunes
Its closing price of 255p put it at number 109 in the list of quoted companies ranked by market value. The timing could not be worse — the quarterly review of the index is on Wednesday. If GKN slips two more places, it will be automatically expelled from the elite club. It received a little extra push towards the door on Friday evening when Moody’s, the credit-rating agency, said it was considering a downgrade of GKN’s debt.
Expulsion from the FTSE 100 would be more than a bit harsh. GKN remains one of Britain’s few top-quality engineering companies. Profits were marginally down on last year, thanks to increased pension costs, but were still in line with forecasts. The costly restructuring of the drivetrain business, which will see large chunks moved to India, China and Mexico, is a sign of the times in the automotive world.
Carmakers are constantly pushing for price cuts, and actively lobbying for key suppliers like GKN to move to low-cost countries. Management can hardly be blamed for doing what its biggest customers want. It claims the revamp should bring benefits of £60m a year within three years.
GKN is also big in aerospace, and its expertise in making composite aircraft parts means that it should be a big winner from Boeing’s new 7E7 airliner programme.
The shares look oversold and justify a price nearer 300p. Buy.
MMO2/KPN
THE CITY is still abuzz with speculation that KPN, the Dutch telecoms group, is working on a new bid for MMO2. Andrew Beale of Arete Research has proposed an intriguing alternative. Shareholders would be much better off if the British mobile company bought KPN.
In a note entitled Mr Topsy Turvy, Beale argues: “When KPN sought to merge with MMO2, it was a case of a lowly rated company buying a higher-rated one, diluting shareholders. The rationale for merging two Mr Smalls into a Mr Strong are clear, but KPN’s proposed structure was destined to make its shareholders Mr Grumpy.”
Better, the logic runs, to issue highly rated MMO2 shares to acquire KPN and take advantage of the enormous £3.3 billion of synergies — mainly from eliminating duplicated network spending in Germany. KPN has more than £5 billion of debt, but the strong earnings from its fixed-line business allow it to support more — so enabling it (or the enlarged group) to pay a large special dividend to shareholders before spinning off the fixed operations.
If MMO2 shareholders can claim half the benefits of the deal, Arete’s estimate of the company’s value rises to 137p a share, compared with 111Äp on Friday. KPN does just as well. “If KPN cares about shareholders it should change advisers,” Mr Topsy Turvy says. “Fire Mr Silly, hire Mr Clever.”
There’s only one problem. It’s not going to happen. Peter Erskine, MMO2’s chief executive, has made clear it is too early for him to be making bold expansionist moves. Still, Mr Topsy Turvy does illustrate the expanding strategic options open to MMO2. Hold the line.
Citywire reveals secret City deals
Jarvis shareholders breathed a sigh of relief on Thursday when the public-sector contractor rebuffed claims that a big schools contract in the northeast was turning sour. This followed news that it had secured £24m owed by National Rail. Hopes of this repayment had been widely dismissed.
Top New Star fund manager Stephen Whittaker chose to believe the group’s claim that the debt would be settled. Whittaker, who has an AA-rating from Citywire for his superb risk-adjusted performance, picked up 750,000 shares, or 0.5%, for the New Star UK Growth fund last month at an average price of about 140p. He is betting the shares will continue to rise as Jarvis keeps pulling away from its bad press.
Win a luxury weekend to Newcastle and its neighbour Gateshead, find out more here
Risk, resilience and embracing new technology
Industry sectors news at a glance. Interactive heatmap, video and podcast
Discover the power of collective thinking. Submit a solution and be in with a chance to win a Media Hub Home Entertainment System
The inside track on current trends in the charity, not for profit and social enterprise sectors
Everything the Business Traveller needs to know to make a better trip
Make the most of the summer and enter our fabulous photographic competition, you could win a £5000 holiday
Corsica is an island of beauty and contrast, an ideal holiday destination
Enjoy further reading from Travel to Fashion, Business to Sport, discover more
Shortcuts to help you find sections and articles
The clever way to lease a new car is with Car leasing made simple™
2009
per month on 36-month
Personal Contract Hire (PCH)
2008
42850
Car Insurance
£24,250 - £30,346
MI5
London
£60,000
The Environment Agency
Bristol
Up to £90K
Boots
Midlands
OTE £85k
Credit Protection Association
Nationwide Opportunities
Completely London
Luxury Condo's in Manhattan with NYC views
The best new homes in Wimbledon?
Nationwide
Fabulous Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers Including Virgin Atlantic Flights Prices Start From Only £699pp!
Last Minute Cruise And Cruise & Stay Offers. Med From £499pp, Caribbean From £699pp!
5 star quality at a 3 star price.
8 fabulous Canadian cities ...you won’t find cheaper
Contact our advertising team for advertising and sponsorship in Times Online, The Times and The Sunday Times, or place your advertisement.
Times Online Services: Dating | Jobs | Property Search | Used Cars | Holidays | Births, Marriages, Deaths | Subscriptions | E-paper
News International associated websites: Globrix Property Search | Property Finder | Milkround
Copyright 2009 Times Newspapers Ltd.
This service is provided on Times Newspapers' standard Terms and Conditions. Please read our Privacy Policy.To inquire about a licence to reproduce material from Times Online, The Times or The Sunday Times, click here.This website is published by a member of the News International Group. News International Limited, 1 Virginia St, London E98 1XY, is the holding company for the News International group and is registered in England No 81701. VAT number GB 243 8054 69.