Wendy Ide
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AUSTRALIA
Baz Luhrmann's love letter to his home country is a sprawling, old-fashioned epic. Nicole Kidman is an English aristocrat who travels to 1930s Australia to sell a cattle ranch. A gruelling journey across country with a rough drover (Jackman) ends with the pair witnessing the Japanese bombardment of Darwin at the start of the Second World War. The Academy loves big, bold movies with vast emotional scope and vaulting cinematic ambitions.
And the prize goes to: Luhrmann for Best Direction
THE READER
Stephen Daldry directs an adaptation of Bernhard Schlink's novel, starring Kate Winslet as an illiterate woman who served as a concentration-camp guard. After the war, she becomes involved in a relationship with a 15-year-old boy who, several years later, attends her trial for war crimes. The Holocaust is always a hot-button topic for the Academy. The prize: Best Actress to Kate Winslet
REVOLUTIONARY ROAD
Richard Yates's bleak, brilliant novel set in 1950s suburban Connecticut is brought to the screen by the director Sam Mendes and screenwriter Justin Haythe. Mrs Mendes, aka Kate Winslet, stars with Leonardo DiCaprio, as a couple trying to work through their marital problems using the tried and tested formula of infidelity and martinis - a return to familiar Mendes territory.
The prize: Best Actress to Kate Winslet (if she doesn't win it for The Reader)
THE DARK KNIGHT
The director Christopher Nolan brought a darker, more dangerous sensibility to the Batman franchise with Batman Begins. Even before the death of Heath Ledger, Nolan's second film for the series was one of the most eagerly anticipated of the year's blockbusters. Now that the Joker is Ledger's last completed role, the fascination has increased exponentially.
The prize: Best Supporting Actor (posthumous) to Heath Ledger
SYNECDOCHE, NEW YORK
The Oscar-winning screenwriter Charlie Kaufman makes his directorial debut with his most ambitious script to date. The quality cast features awards-magnet names such as Philip Seymour Hoffman, who plays a theatre director battling with creative and romantic crises who attempts to create a life-sized replica of New York inside a warehouse as part of his next production.
The prize: Best Original Screenplay to Charlie Kaufman
BODY OF LIES
After the lukewarm response to films about the War on Terror, there is no predicting whether audiences will embrace Ridley Scott's Body of Lies, the story of a CIA operative sent to Jordan to track a high-ranking terrorist. But the cast - Leonardo DiCaprio and Russell Crowe - is causing ripples of excitement. The prize: Best Actor to Leonardo DiCaprio
FROST/NIXON
Peter Morgan adapts his own play for screen; Ron Howard directs and Michael Sheen and Frank Langella reprise their stage roles as David Frost and Richard Nixon respectively in a dramatic retelling of the post-Watergate interviews between Frost and Nixon.
The prizes: Best Actor to either Frank Langella or Michael Sheen. Best Adapted Screenplay to Peter Morgan
THE ARGENTINE/GUERRILLA
The director Steven Soderbergh has made two films about Che Guevara, both of which star Benicio Del Toro as the revolutionary idol. The Argentine tells of Guevara and a band of Cuban exiles toppling the Batista regime in Cuba in the mid-1950s; Guerrilla is set in 1964, when Guevara travelled to New York to address the UN. The more conservative voters are unlikely to respond to either, but a director of Soderbergh's standing is impossible to ignore.
The prize: Best Director for Soderbergh. Maybe
THE SOLOIST
The British director Joe Wright's third film stars Jamie Foxx, a regular nominee. The story of a homeless, schizophrenic musician who dreams of playing at Walt Disney Concert Hall seems to tick all the boxes when it comes to the voters' weakness for mawkish movies about mental illness.
The prize: Best Film
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
Brad Pitt is no longer box-office gold, and the story - in which a man starts ageing slowly backwards from 50 - has an offbeat quirkiness that could unsettle the audience. But it has a quality supporting cast.
The prize: Best Supporting Actress for either Cate Blanchett or Tilda Swinton (again)
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Cheri which is being directed by Stephen Frears and written by Christopher Hampton and starring Michelle Pfeiffer and Kathy Bates will also sure to be getting some nominations.
David Jacks, London,
Baz Luhrmann as best director? Excuse me while I mop up the blood, as my sides have split from laughter. The mans work has the depth of an oil slick, with films that substitute production design and elaborate musical arrangements for emotion. I recall footage of him flouncing around as he spoke of the supposed depth and meaning in his advertisement for Chanel No. 5, also starring Ms Kidman, who frankly, needs to start actually reading the script before signing on the dotted line. Those of us who live in Australia and love cinema dearly wish he would change the title of this upcoming 3 hour unintentional joke...
Oliver Johnston, Red Hill, Queensland, Australia
Wendy, I think you will find that the Second World War started a long time before the Japanese bombarded Darwin!
Tom Hanna, Northallerton,
How about Wayne Kramer's U.S. border agent/immigration study "Crossing Over" with the potentially terrific ensemble of Harrison Ford, Ray Liotta, Ashley Judd, Alice Braga, Alice Eve, Cliff Curtis, (future breakout star) Summer Bishil and Sean Penn? It could end up being as good as "Traffic", "Babel", "Syriana" or -- God help us -- as lame as the overrated (by me) "Crash". "Crossing Over" comes out in June and it has the power of the Weinsteins behind it. And I think Hollywood would love to give an Oscar to Ford, who seems to have a pretty good movie year ahead of him what with this movie and a low budget, independent period film about an archeologist hunting for supernatural relics. I forgot what that one was called, but I'm sure it will come to me right after I send in this email. By the way, I am not a publicist, just a movie fan. Hey, Harvey, is this email okay?
Ray Ballard, Odessa, US / Texas